Joshua M. Epstein

Joshua M. Epstein
Joshua M. Epstein

Professor of Epidemiology

Professional overview

Joshua Epstein is Professor of Epidemiology in the NYU College of Global Public Health, and founding Director of the NYU Agent-Based Modeling Laboratory, with affiliated appointments at The Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, and the College of Arts & Sciences. Prior to joining NYU, he was Professor of Emergency Medicine at Johns Hopkins, and Director of the Center for Advanced Modeling in the Social, Behavior, and Health Sciences, with Joint appointments in Economics, Applied Mathematics, International Health, and Biostatistics. Before that, he was  Senior Fellow in Economic Studies at the Brookings Institution and Director of the Center on Social and Economic Dynamics. His research interest has been modeling complex social dynamics using mathematical and computational methods, notably the method of Agent-Based Modeling in which he is a recognized pioneer. For this transformative innovation, he was awarded the NIH Director’s Pioneer Award in 2008, an Honorary Doctorate of Science from Amherst College in 2010, and was elected to the Society of Sigma XI in 2018. He has applied this method to the study of infectious diseases (e.g., Ebola, pandemic influenza, and smallpox), vector-borne diseases (e.g., zika), urban disaster preparedness, contagious violence, the evolution of norms, economic dynamics, computational archaeology, and the emergence of social classes, among many other topics. His books include Nonlinear Dynamics, Mathematical Biology, and Social Science (Wiley 1997), Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling (Princeton, 2006), Agent_Zero: Toward Neurocognitive Foundations for Generative Social Science (Princeton, 2013), and with Robert Axtell, Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up (MIT, 1996). Dr. Epstein earned his BA from Amherst College and his Ph.D. from The Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Education

BA, Independent Scholar with Thesis in Political Economy, Amherst College, Amherst, MA
PhD, Political Science (Specialization: Security Studies, Communist Studies, and Economics), Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA

Honors and awards

Honorary Doctorate of Science, Amherst College (2010)
Director’s Pioneer Award, National Institutes of Health (2008)
Rockefeller Foundation International Relations Fellowship (1984)
Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellowship (1983)
Ford Foundation Dual Expertise Fellowship in Soviet/East European Area Studies and International Security/Arms Control (1981)
Institute for the Study of World Politics Fellowship (1981)

Areas of research and study

Agent-Based Modeling
Applied Economics
Cost Analysis
Disaster Health
Epidemiology
Health Economics
Infectious Diseases
Mathematical and Computational Modeling
Modeling Social and Behavioral Dynamics
New York Department of Health and Mental Hygiene
Public Health Systems
Urban Health
Urban Informatics
Urban Science

Publications

Publications

Controlling the Greenhouse Effect: Five Global Regimes Compared

Epstein, J., & Gupta, R.

Publication year

1990

Conventional Force Reductions: A Dynamic Assessment

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1990

The 3:1 Rule, the Adaptive Dynamic Model, and the Future of Security Studies

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1989

Journal title

International Security

Volume

13

Issue

4

Page(s)

90-127

Dynamic Analysis and the Conventional Balance in Europe

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1988

Journal title

International Security

Volume

12

Issue

4

Page(s)

154-65

Strategy and Force Planning: The Case of the Persian Gulf

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1987

Assessing the Military Balance: Defense Analysis and the Defense Debate

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1985

Journal title

The Brookings Review

Volume

3

Issue

3

Page(s)

16-20

The 1987 Defense Budget

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1985

The 1988 Defense Budget

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1985

The Calculus of Conventional War: Dynamic Analysis Without Lanchester Theory

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1985

Measuring Military Power

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1984

Horizontal Escalation: Sour Notes of a Recurrent Theme

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1983

Page(s)

541-552

On Conventional Deterrence in Europe: Questions of Soviet Confidence

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1982

Journal title

Orbis

Volume

26

Issue

1

Page(s)

71-86

Soviet Vulnerabilities in Iran and the RDF Deterrent

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1981

Journal title

International Security

Volume

6

Issue

2

Page(s)

126-59

The Extended Calculus of Spencer Brown and Related Areas of Logic and Mathematics

Epstein, J.

Publication year

1979

Contact

je65@nyu.edu +1 (212) 992-3702 715/719 Broadway New York, NY 10003