Jose Pagan
Chair and Professor of the Department of Public Health Policy and Management
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Professional overview
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Dr. Pagán received his PhD in economics from the University of New Mexico and is a former Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health & Society Scholar with expertise in health economics and population health. He has led research, implementation, and evaluation projects on the redesign of health care delivery and payment systems. He is interested in population health management, health care payment and delivery system reform, and the social determinants of health. Over the years his research has been funded through grants and contracts from the Department of Defense, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the National Institutes of Health, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, the European Commission, and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, among others.
Dr. Pagán is Chair of the Board of Directors of NYC Health + Hospitals, the largest public healthcare system in the United States. He also served as Chair of the National Advisory Committee of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation’s Health Policy Research Scholars and was a member of the Board of Directors of the Interdisciplinary Association for Population Health Science and the American Society of Health Economists.
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Areas of research and study
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Applied EconomicsHealth EconomicsPopulation HealthPublic Health Policy
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Publications
Publications
Foreign direct investment and economic growth in East Asia and Latin America
Elahee, M., & Pagan, J. (n.d.).Publication year
1999Journal title
Journal of Emerging MarketsVolume
4Issue
1Page(s)
59-67Gender pay and occupational-attainment gaps in Costa Rica and El Salvador: A relative comparison of the late 1980s
Dávila, A., & Pagán, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
1999Journal title
Review of Development EconomicsVolume
3Issue
2Page(s)
215-230AbstractThis study investigates gender occupational attainment and earnings differentials in El Salvador and Costa Rica at the end of the 1980s. During this decade, El Salvador experienced a civil war and an economic depression. Costa Rica was also mired in a recession in the early 1980s, but programs adopted in the mid-1980s led to rapid economic recovery. It is found that the gender pay gap in El Salvador is 30.4% and 23.6% in Costa Rica. The intercountry difference in the gap disappears after accounting for high gender differences in occupational attainment and hours worked in El Salvador.Immigration reform, the INS, and the distribution of interior and border enforcement resources
Dávila, A., Pagán, J. A., & Grau, M. V. (n.d.).Publication year
1999Journal title
Public ChoiceVolume
99Issue
3Page(s)
327-345AbstractThis paper investigates the Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) interior and border enforcement effort allocation choice following the enactment of IRCA in 1986. The INS increasingly allocated a disproportionate amount of resources along the border as a result of the new law. It is contended that this behavior is consistent with that of a public agency intent on maximizing its budget and not in accord with minimizing the undocumented population in the United States. The theory developed here is then used to evaluate proposals that could potentially reconcile the INS's objectives with those of the policy makers and the public.Occupational attainment and gender earnings differentials in Mexico
Brown, C. J., Pagán, J. A., & Rodríguez-Oreggia, E. (n.d.).Publication year
1999Journal title
Industrial and Labor Relations ReviewVolume
53Issue
1Page(s)
123-135AbstractWomen earned about 20.8% less than men in Mexico in 1987, a difference that increased to 22.0% by 1993. Using 1987-93 data from Mexico's National Urban Employment Survey, the authors study the role of occupational attainment in this wage differential. Most of the 1987-93 increase in the gender log monthly earnings gap, they find, can be explained by relative changes in human capital endowments; wage coefficient changes would have slightly reduced the gap, all else equal. The increasing male-female earnings differential was tempered by a substantial decline in gender differences in occupational attainment from 1987 to 1993. Most of the male-female differences in earnings in both 1987 and 1993 can be explained by differences in rewards to individual endowments rather than gender differences in endowments.Changes in employment status across demographic groups during the 1990-1991 recession
Brown, C. J., & Pagán, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
1998Journal title
Applied EconomicsVolume
30Issue
12Page(s)
1571-1583AbstractThis study analyses the relative impact of the 1990-91 recession on the employment status of Mexican-American, other Hispanic, and non-Hispanic black and white workers in the US. Recession-induced job losses and changes in shares of parttime and fulltime employment significantly varied across demographic groups and gender. From 1989 to 1991 males experienced a larger decline than females in the relative shares of fulltime employment with Mexican-American and other Hispanic females actually increasing their shares. Utilizing 1990 and 1992 CPS data, we estimate bivariate probit models of employment and fulltime/parttime employment status for each group. These employment and work status probabilities are then decomposed to analyse the factors that led to the changes. Our study suggests that the 1990-91 recession-induced labour market changes had the most detrimental impact on black male and non-Hispanic white female workers. As such, public policies implemented to mitigate the impact of economic downturns should take into account the differential impact of economic recessions on demographic groups.Employer sanctions on hiring illegal labor: An experimental analysis of firm compliance
Pagán, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
1998Journal title
Journal of Economic Behavior and OrganizationVolume
34Issue
1Page(s)
87-100AbstractThe employer sanctions provision of the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act penalizes employers who knowingly hire unauthorized workers. Under IRCA, employers are subject to civil and/or criminal penalties; however, given the widespread availability of counterfeit documentation, in some cases it becomes difficult to discern the employment eligibility status of some workers. Using experimental methods, this study provides some evidence that marginal increases in employer compliance rates are significantly higher when employers have perfect information on the employment eligibility status of its potential workers than when they do not. The experimental results suggest that increases in government spending for employer sanctions enforcement may be more effective if the informational asymmetry faced by employers is solved first. A possible solution to this problem may lie in the adoption of tamper-proof documentation such as a national identification card.On the regional variability of minority/non-minority wage differentials
Dávila, A., & Pagán, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
1998Journal title
Applied Economics LettersVolume
5Issue
2Page(s)
93-95AbstractThis paper assesses whether regional variability in the minority/non-minority wage gap exists and if it depends on state-specific factors such as political conservatism, antidiscriminatory policies, and the 'visibility' of minorities. We find an extreme variability in the minority/non-minority wage differential across states and that this gap narrows as minorities achieve a 'threshold' level which allows them to exert political and economic pressures on majority employers.The impact of IRCA on the job opportunities and earnings of Mexican-American and Hispanic-American workers
Davila, A., Pagan, J. A., & Grau, M. V. (n.d.).Publication year
1998Journal title
International Migration ReviewVolume
32Issue
1Page(s)
79-95AbstractThis article studies the earnings gap between Mexican, Hispanic and non-Hispanic white male workers resulting from changes in both the wage structure and immigration laws that occurred during the 1980s. Our results suggest that Mexican and Hispanic workers were adversely affected by these two changes. Using data from the 1980 and 1990 One Percent Public Use Microdata samples, we show that these 'at-risk' workers minimized the negative impact of the increases in the returns to skill by gaining in the non-Hispanic white residual wage distribution. We conclude that at-risk workers increased their work effort to lessen the effects of Act-induced employment losses. Using 1983-1992 data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth and EEOC data for this period, we provide support for this contention.Obesity, occupational attainment, and earnings
Pagán, J. A., & Dávila, A. (n.d.).Publication year
1997Journal title
Social Science QuarterlyVolume
78Issue
3Page(s)
756-770AbstractObjective. This study contributes to the study of the relationship between obesity, occupational attainment, and earnings. Methods. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY), we utilize a multinomial logit specification to investigate the occupational selection of obese individuals. We then estimate earnings functions that account for the occupational attainment of the overweight. Results. We find that women pay a penalty for being obese, but overweight males, via occupational mobility, sort themselves into jobs to offset this penalty. Conclusions. Weight-related occupational sorting of males may be the outcome of the low barriers they face when moving across occupations. The occupational segregation found for obese women, however, may be mostly rooted in labor market discrimination.The effect of selective INS monitoring strategies on the industrial employment choice and earnings of recent immigrants
Dávila, A., & Pagán, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
1997Journal title
Economic InquiryVolume
35Issue
1Page(s)
138-150AbstractOne effect of 1986's immigration reform was to make INS inspection of farms more costly relative to other industries. In response, we suggest, the INS refocused its enforcement efforts toward industries with a higher concentration of illegals per establishment, especially manufacturing. We test this hypotheses and model the effects of a selective monitoring strategy on the employment choice and wages of illegal workers. We find evidence of selective monitoring by the INS and that this policy has redistributed illegal workers from closely to weakly monitored industries. Specifically, we find a shift from the higher-paying manufacturing sector to the agricultural.The role of occupational attainment, labor market structure, and earnings inequality on the relative earnings of Mexican Americans: 1986-1992
Pagán, J. A., & Cárdenas, G. (n.d.).Publication year
1997Journal title
Hispanic Journal of Behavioral SciencesVolume
19Issue
3Page(s)
243-267AbstractThis article analyzes how the 1990-1991 recession and recent changes in U.S. immigration laws may have affected the employment and earnings of Mexican Americans. Using data from the 1986 and 1992 waves of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (n = 2,091), the authors attempt to explain the decline in real earnings experienced by Mexican Americans during this period. The relative earnings of Mexican American males (females) fell from 92.41% (77.67%) in 1986 to 82.54% (74.71%) in 1992. Although Mexican Americans seem to be relatively concentrated in low-paying occupations, recent changes in the U.S. wage structure may have worked to offset the observed decrease in relative earnings.Uncertainty and human capital accumulation along the U.S./Mexico Border
LeMaster, J., & Pagan, J. (n.d.).Publication year
1997Journal title
Ensayos (Center for Economic Research, Department of Economics, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)Volume
16Issue
2La estructura ocupacional y la diferencia salarial entre el hombre y la mujer en Mexico
Pagan, J., Rodríguez Oreggia Y. Román E., & Brown, C. (n.d.).Publication year
1996Journal title
Entorno EconómicoOn-the-job training, immigration reform, and the true wages of native male workers
Pagán, J. A., & Dávila, A. (n.d.).Publication year
1996Journal title
Industrial RelationsVolume
35Issue
1Page(s)
45-58AbstractThis study measures the Immigration Reform and Control Act's (IRCA) impact on the "true" earnings of native workers. True earnings include observed wages and compensation received in the form of on-the-job training (OJT). Using 1983-1992 NLSY data, we present evidence suggesting IRCA reduced the true wages of male natives most likely to be mistaken as unauthorized. Our findings suggest that Mexican Americans suffered the largest decline in post-IRCA OJT. It appears then that antidiscrimination policies following recent immigration reform have not fully protected some U.S. natives against unintended IRCA-related employment discrimination.The Impact of the 1990-1991 recession on the employment status of Puerto Rican men and women in the U.S.
Brown, C., & Pagan, J. (n.d.).Publication year
1996Journal title
Ceteris Paribus (Revista de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas, Universidad de Puerto Rico)Volume
6Issue
2Page(s)
69-84Explaining the effects of changes in labor market structure on the relative wages of Puerto Rican workers: 1982-1992
Pagan, J. (n.d.).Publication year
1995Journal title
Ceteris Paribus (Revista de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas, Universidad de Puerto Rico)Volume
5Issue
2Page(s)
61-73