Eliseo Guallar

Eliseo Guallar
Chair and Professor of the Department of Epidemiology
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Professional overview
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Dr. Guallar is an epidemiologist whose research is focused on the study of cardiovascular disease epidemiology and prevention, with an emphasis on evaluating the role of environmental and nutritional exposures in the development of cardiovascular disease. This research has made critically important and novel contributions to our understanding of risk factors for chronic disease both in the US and globally. He has published seminal articles and is a leading figure in an emerging field highlighting the risks of exposure to levels of metals previously considered safe for cardiovascular health. In addition to his work in toxic metals, Dr. Guallar has made important contributions to understanding the effects of certain micronutrients and vitamin supplements on cardiovascular disease risk and outcomes. Publications in this area were influential in changing consumer habits and attitudes towards these products. Much of this research has been funded by the National Institutes of Health, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the American Heart Association, the CDC, and other funders.
Dr. Guallar was the founding director of the Center for Clinical Epidemiology at the Samsung Medical Center and a lead investigator of the Kangbuk Samsung Cohort Study at the Kangbuk Samsung Hospital since its inception in 2010. Dr. Guallar has published over 500 research papers in peer-reviewed journals. He is also a Deputy Editor for Methods at the Annals of Internal Medicine and a past member and Chair of the Cancer, Heart, and Sleep Study Section at the National Institutes of Health.
Prior to teaching at NYU, Dr. Guallar was a Professor of Epidemiology and Medicine at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health and a core faculty member of the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research at Johns Hopkins. In the Department of Epidemiology, Dr. Guallar was the Director of the Environmental and Occupational Area of Concentration and the Co-Director of the PhD Program. Dr. Guallar was also an adjunct Professor at the Department of Clinical Research Design and Evaluation of the Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Science and Technology, Sungkyunkwan University, in Seoul, Korea.
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Education
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Diploma of English, Spanish Official School of Languages at Zaragoza (Escuela Oficial de Idiomas de Zaragoza), Zaragoza, SpainMD, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, SpainMPH, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MNDrPH, Harvard University, Boston, MA
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Honors and awards
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Six Honor Calls in the MD Program, University of Zaragoza School of Medicine (1981)Fellow of Spain’s Program of Training of Graduate Research of the Ministry of Education and Science, University of Zaragoza (1988)Fulbright Scholar, sponsored by Spain’s Ministry of Health and Consumer Affairs (1989)Faculty Innovation Award, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health (2001)Scientist Development Award, American Heart Association (2002)Fellow of the American Heart Association, Council on Epidemiology and Prevention (2013)Advising, Mentoring, and Teaching Recognition Award 2014 – 2015, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health (2015)High Impact Research Icon, University of Malaya (2015)
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Publications
Publications
Carotid artery wall thickness and incident cardiovascular events: A comparison between US and MRI in the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)
Zhang, Y., Guallar, E., Malhotra, S., Astor, B. C., Polak, J. F., Qiao, Y., Gomes, A. S., Herrington, D. M., Sharrett, A. R., Bluemke, D. A., & Wasserman, B. A. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
RadiologyVolume
289Issue
3Page(s)
649-657AbstractPurpose: To compare common carotid artery (CCA) wall thickness measured manually by using US and semiautomatically by using MRI, and to examine their associations with incident coronary heart disease and stroke. Materials and Methods: This prospective study enrolled 698 participants without a history of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) from July 2000 to December 2013 (mean age, 63 years; range, 45 to 84 years; same for men and women). All participants provided written informed consent. CCA wall thickness was measured with US as well as both noncontrast proton-density–weighted and intravenous gadolinium-enhanced MRI. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations between wall thickness measurements by using US and MRI with CVD outcomes. Results: The adjusted hazard ratios for coronary heart disease, stroke, and CVD associated with per standard deviation increase in intima-media thickness were 1.10, 1.08, and 1.14, respectively. The corresponding associations for mean wall thickness measured with proton-density–weighted MRI were 1.32, 1.48, and 1.37, and for mean wall thickness measured with gadolinium-enhanced MRI were 1.27, 1.58, and 1.38. When included simultaneously in the same model, MRI wall thickness, but not intima-media thickness, remained associated with outcomes. Conclusion: For individuals without known cardiovascular disease at baseline, wall thickness measurements by using MRI were more consistently associated with incident cardiovascular disease, particularly stroke, than were intima-media thickness by using US.Coexistence of Colorectal Adenomas and Coronary Calcification in Asymptomatic Men and Women
Yun, K. E., Chang, Y., Rampal, S., Zhang, Y., Cho, J., Jung, H. S., Kim, C. W., Jeong, C., Cainzos-Achirica, M., Zhao, D., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Shin, H., Guallar, E., & Ryu, S. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of Clinical GastroenterologyVolume
52Issue
6Page(s)
508-514AbstractGoals: Because of shared risk factors between clinically manifest cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer, we hypothesized the coexistence of subclinical atherosclerosis measured by coronary artery calcium (CAC) and colorectal adenoma (CRA) and that these 2 processes would also share common risk factors. Background: No study has directly compared the risk factors associated with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and CRA. Study: This was a cross-sectional study using multinomial logistic regression analysis of 4859 adults who participated in a health screening examination (2010 to 2011; analysis 2014 to 2015). CAC scores were categorized as 0, 1 to 100, or >100. Colonoscopy results were categorized as absent, low-risk, or high-risk CRA. Results: The prevalence of CAC>0, CAC 1 to 100 and >100 was 13.0%, 11.0%, and 2.0%, respectively. The prevalence of any CRA, low-risk CRA, and high-risk CRA was 15.1%, 13.0%, and 2.1%, respectively. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for CAC>0 comparing participants with low-risk and high-risk CRA with those without any CRA were 1.35 (1.06-1.71) and 2.09 (1.29-3.39), respectively. Similarly, the adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for any CRA comparing participants with CAC 1 to 100 and CAC>100 with those with no CAC were 1.26 (1.00-1.6) and 2.07 (1.31-3.26), respectively. Age, smoking, diabetes, and family history of CRC were significantly associated with both conditions. Conclusions: We observed a graded association between CAC and CRA in apparently healthy individuals. The coexistence of both conditions further emphasizes the need for more evidence of comprehensive approaches to screening and the need to consider the impact of the high risk of coexisting disease in individuals with CAC or CRA, instead of piecemeal approaches restricted to the detection of each disease independently.Differential prognosis of vasospastic angina according to presentation with sudden cardiac arrest or not: Analysis of the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service
Park, T. K., Gwag, H. B., Park, S. J., Park, H., Kang, D., Park, J., Cho, J., Chung, C. R., Jeon, K., Suh, G. Y., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Yang, J. H. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
International Journal of CardiologyVolume
273Page(s)
39-43AbstractBackground: The long-term prognosis of vasospastic angina (VSA) patients presenting with aborted sudden cardiac death (ASCD) is still unknown. We sought to compare the long-term clinical outcomes between VSA patients presenting with and without ASCD by retrospective analysis of a nationwide population-based database. Methods: A total of 6972 patients in the Health Insurance Review and Assessment database who were hospitalized in the intensive care unit with VSA between July 1, 2007 and May 31, 2015 were enrolled. Primary outcome was the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction after discharge. Results: Five hundred ninety-eight (8.6%) VSA patients presented with ASCD. On inverse probability of treatment weighting, ASCD patients had a significantly increased risk of the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.72–3.67; p < 0.001) during the median follow-up duration of 4 years. The association of ASCD presentation with a worse outcome in terms of primary outcome was consistent across various subgroups, including comorbidity type and use of vasodilators (all p-values for interaction: non-significant). ASCD patients treated with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) had a lower incidence of the composite of cardiac arrest and acute myocardial infarction during follow-up than those without an ICD (p = 0.009). Conclusions: VSA patients that present with ASCD are at increased risk of cardiac arrest or myocardial infarction during long-term follow-up despite adequate vasodilator therapy. An ICD is a potential therapeutic option for secondary prevention.Discordance between 10-year cardiovascular risk estimates using the ACC/AHA 2013 estimator and coronary artery calcium in individuals from 5 racial/ethnic groups: Comparing MASALA and MESA
Al Rifai, M., Cainzos-Achirica, M., Kanaya, A. M., Kandula, N. R., Dardardi, Z., Joshi, P. H., Patel, J., Budoff, M., Yeboah, J., Guallar, E., Blumenthal, R. S., & Blaha, M. J. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
AtherosclerosisVolume
279Page(s)
122-129AbstractBackground and aims: South Asian (SA) individuals are thought to represent a group that is at high-risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, the performance of the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) remains uncertain in SAs living in the US. We aimed to study the interplay between predicted 10-year ASCVD risk and coronary artery calcium (CAC) in SAs compared to other racial/ethnic groups. Methods: We studied 536 SAs from the Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America (MASALA) study, and 2073 Non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs), 1514 African Americans (AAs), 1254 Hispanics, and 671 Chinese Americans (CAs) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) who were not currently on statins. We used logistic regression models to assess the association between race/ethnicity and CAC within each ASCVD risk stratum. Results: SAs at low and at intermediate estimated ASCVD risk were more likely to have CAC = 0 compared to NHWs, while SAs at high risk had a similar CAC burden to NHWs. For example, intermediate-risk SAs had a 73% higher odds of CAC = 0 compared to NHWs (95% 1.00–2.99), while high-risk SAs were equally likely to have CAC = 0 (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.65–1.38) and CAC >100 (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.61–1.22). Conclusions: Our results suggest that the extent of ASCVD risk overestimation using the PCEs may be even greater among SAs considered at low and intermediate risk than among NHWs. Studies with incident ASCVD events are required to validate and/or recalibrate current ASCVD risk prediction tools in this group.Effect of long-term selenium supplementation on mortality: Results from a multiple-dose, randomised controlled trial
Rayman, M. P., Winther, K. H., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Cold, F., Thvilum, M., Stranges, S., Guallar, E., & Cold, S. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Free Radical Biology and MedicineVolume
127Page(s)
46-54AbstractBackground: Selenium, an essential trace element, is incorporated into selenoproteins with a wide range of health effects. Selenoproteins may reach repletion at a plasma selenium concentration of ~ 125 µg/L, at which point the concentration of selenoprotein P reaches a plateau; whether sustained concentrations higher than this are beneficial, or indeed detrimental, is unknown. Objective: In a population of relatively low selenium status, we aimed to determine the effect on mortality of long-term selenium supplementation at different dose levels. Design: The Denmark PRECISE study was a single-centre, randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, multi-arm, parallel clinical trial with four groups. Participants were 491 male and female volunteers aged 60–74 years, recruited at Odense University Hospital, Denmark. The trial was initially designed as a 6-month pilot study, but supplemental funding allowed for extension of the study and mortality assessment. Participants were randomly assigned to treatment with 100, 200, or 300 µg selenium/d as selenium-enriched-yeast or placebo-yeast for 5 years from randomization in 1998–1999 and were followed up for mortality for a further 10 years (through March 31, 2015). Results: During 6871 person-years of follow-up, 158 deaths occurred. In an intention-to-treat analysis, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality comparing 300 µg selenium/d to placebo was 1.62 (0.66, 3.96) after 5 years of treatment and 1.59 (1.02, 2.46) over the entire follow-up period. The 100 and 200 µg/d doses showed non-significant decreases in mortality during the intervention period that disappeared after treatment cessation. Although we lacked power for endpoints other than all-cause mortality, the effects on cancer and cardiovascular mortality appeared similar. Conclusions: A 300 µg/d dose of selenium taken for 5 years in a country with moderately-low selenium status increased all-cause mortality 10 years later. While our study was not initially designed to evaluate mortality and the sample size was limited, our findings indicate that total selenium intake over 300 µg/d and high-dose selenium supplements should be avoided.Endogenous Sex Hormones and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Post-Menopausal Women
Zhao, D., Guallar, E., Ouyang, P., Subramanya, V., Vaidya, D., Ndumele, C. E., Lima, J. A., Allison, M. A., Shah, S. J., Bertoni, A. G., Budoff, M. J., Post, W. S., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of the American College of CardiologyVolume
71Issue
22Page(s)
2555-2566AbstractBackground: Higher androgen and lower estrogen levels are associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in women. However, studies on sex hormones and incident CVD events in women have yielded conflicting results. Objectives: The authors assessed the associations of sex hormone levels with incident CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and heart failure (HF) events among women without CVD at baseline. Methods: The authors studied 2,834 post-menopausal women participating in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) with testosterone, estradiol, dehydroepiandrosterone, and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) levels measured at baseline (2000 to 2002). They used Cox hazard models to evaluate associations of sex hormones with each outcome, adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, and hormone therapy use. Results: The mean age was 64.9 ± 8.9 years. During 12.1 years of follow-up, 283 CVD, 171 CHD, and 103 HF incident events occurred. In multivariable-adjusted models, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) associated with 1 SD greater log-transformed sex hormone level for the respective outcomes of CVD, CHD, and HF were as follows: total testosterone: 1.14 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.29), 1.20 (95% CI: 1.03 to 1.40), 1.09 (95% CI: 0.90 to 1.34); estradiol: 0.94 (95% CI: 0.80 to 1.11), 0.77 (95% CI: 0.63 to 0.95), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.60 to 1.02); and testosterone/estradiol ratio: 1.19 (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.40), 1.45 (95% CI: 1.19 to 1.78), 1.31 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.70). Dehydroepiandrosterone and SHBG levels were not associated with these outcomes. Conclusions: Among post-menopausal women, a higher testosterone/estradiol ratio was associated with an elevated risk for incident CVD, CHD, and HF events, higher levels of testosterone associated with increased CVD and CHD, whereas higher estradiol levels were associated with a lower CHD risk. Sex hormone levels after menopause are associated with women's increased CVD risk later in life.Environmental metals and cardiovascular disease
Tellez-Plaza, M., Guallar, E., & Navas-Acien, A. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
BMJ (Online)Volume
362AbstractMetals are an important but neglected source of CV risk.Fasting versus nonfasting and low- density lipoprotein cholesterol accuracy
Sathiyakumar, V., Park, J., Golozar, A., Lazo, M., Quispe, R., Guallar, E., Blumenthal, R. S., Jones, S. R., & Martin, S. S. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
CirculationVolume
137Issue
1Page(s)
10-19AbstractBACKGROUND: Recent recommendations favoring nonfasting lipid assessment may affect low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) estimation. The novel method of LDL-C estimation (LDL-C N ) uses a flexible approach to derive patientspecific ratios of triglycerides to very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. This adaptability may confer an accuracy advantage in nonfasting patients over the fixed approach of the classic Friedewald method (LDL-C F ). METHODS: We used a US cross-sectional sample of 1 545 634 patients (959 153 fasting ≥10-12 hours; 586 481 nonfasting) from the second harvest of the Very Large Database of Lipids study to assess for the first time the impact of fasting status on novel LDL-C accuracy. Rapid ultracentrifugation was used to directly measure LDL-C content (LDL-C D ). Accuracy was defined as the percentage of LDLC D falling within an estimated LDL-C (LDL-C N or LDL-C F ) category by clinical cut points. For low estimated LDL-C (<70 mg/dL), we evaluated accuracy by triglyceride levels. The magnitude of absolute and percent differences between LDL-CD and estimated LDL-C (LDL-C N or LDL-C F ) was stratified by LDL-C and triglyceride categories. RESULTS: In both fasting and nonfasting samples, accuracy was higher with the novel method across all clinical LDL-C categories (range, 87%-94%) compared with the Friedewald estimation (range, 71%-93%; P≤0.001). With LDL-C <70 mg/dL, nonfasting LDL-C N accuracy (92%) was superior to LDL-C F accuracy (71%; P<0.001). In this LDL-C range, 19% of fasting and 30% of nonfasting patients had differences ≥10 mg/dL between LDL-CF and LDL-C D , whereas only 2% and 3% of patients, respectively, had similar differences with novel estimation. Accuracy of LDL-C <70 mg/dL further decreased as triglycerides increased, particularly for Friedewald estimation (range, 37%-96%) versus the novel method (range, 82%-94%). With triglycerides of 200 to 399 mg/dL in nonfasting patients, LDLC N <70 mg/dL accuracy (82%) was superior to LDL-C F (37%; P<0.001). In this triglyceride range, 73% of fasting and 81% of nonfasting patients had ≥10 mg/dL differences between LDL-C F and LDL-C D compared with 25% and 20% of patients, respectively, with LDL-C N . CONCLUSIONS: Novel adaptable LDL-C estimation performs better in nonfasting samples than the fixed Friedewald estimation, with a particular accuracy advantage in settings of low LDL-C and high triglycerides. In addition to stimulating further study, these results may have immediate relevance for guideline committees, laboratory leadership, clinicians, and patients.Hepatitis B virus infection and development of chronic kidney disease: A cohort study
Hong, Y. S., Ryu, S., Chang, Y., Caínzos-Achirica, M., Kwon, M. J., Zhao, D., Shafi, T., Lazo, M., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Shin, H., Cho, J., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
BMC NephrologyVolume
19Issue
1AbstractBackground: The effect of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection on the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is controversial. We examined the prospective association between hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) serology status and incident CKD in a large cohort of men and women. Methods: Cohort study of 299,913 adults free of CKD at baseline who underwent health screening exams between January 2002 and December 2016 in South Korea. Incident CKD was defined as the development of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 and/or proteinuria. Results: Over 1,673,701 person-years of follow-up, we observed 13,924 incident cases of CKD (3225 cases of eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 and 11,072 cases of proteinuria). In fully adjusted models comparing positive to negative HBsAg participants, the hazard ratio (HR, 95% confidence interval) for incident CKD was 1.11 (1.03-1.21; P = 0.01). The corresponding HR for incident proteinuria and for eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 were 1.23 (1.12-1.35; P < 0.001) and 0.89 (0.73-1.07; P = 0.21), respectively. The associations were similar across categories of liver enzyme levels at baseline. Conclusion: In this large cohort, HBsAg positive serology was associated with higher risk of incident CKD, and we provide novel evidence that this association was due to a higher incidence of proteinuria in HBsAg positive participants. Our study adds to the growing body of evidence suggesting that chronic HBV infection may be a contributor to the increasing incidence of CKD.Improving Follow-up and Reducing Barriers for Eye Screenings in Communities: The SToP Glaucoma Study
Zhao, D., Guallar, E., Bowie, J. V., Swenor, B., Gajwani, P., Kanwar, N., & Friedman, D. S. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
American Journal of OphthalmologyVolume
188Page(s)
19-28AbstractPurpose: To evaluate factors associated with attendance to follow-up ophthalmic care, and to assess the impact of strategies to improve follow-up. Design: Cross-sectional study. Methods: This is an ongoing study to develop an eye screening paradigm, focusing on African Americans ≥50 years of age at multiple urban community sites in Baltimore, Maryland. Several strategies were employed aiming to increase follow-up attendance rates. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the associations between demographic, medical, and ocular factors with follow-up rate. Results: The total number of referred patients presenting for a free eye examination (attendance rate) during the first phase, during the second phase, and overall was 686 (55.0%), 199 (63.8%), and 885 (57.0%), respectively. In fully adjusted models, the odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) for attending the follow-up visit was 1.82 (1.19, 2.79) for screening in second phase vs first phase, 0.62 (0.39, 0.99) for screening sites that were 3 to <5 miles vs <1 mile from the hospital, 1.70 (1.12, 2.59) in patients with body mass index ≥ 30 vs < 25 kg/m2, 2.03 (1.28, 3.21) in patients with presenting visual acuity < 20/40 vs ≥ 20/40, and 2.32 (1.24, 4.34) for patients with an abnormal vs normal macula. Conclusions: Obesity, short distance between screening sites and hospital, poor presenting visual acuity in the better eye, and an abnormal macula on fundus photography were associated with increased follow-up rate. Implementation of a combination of strategies effectively increased the follow-up rate. Wider adoption of these strategies in other screening programs has the potential to reduce the burden of visual impairment.In silico epigenetics of metal exposure and subclinical atherosclerosis in middle aged men: Pilot results from the aragon workers health study
Riffo-Campos, A. L., Fuentes-Trillo, A., Tang, W. Y., Soriano, Z., De Marco, G., Rentero-Garrido, P., Adam-Felici, V., Lendinez-Tortajada, V., Francesconi, K., Goessler, W., Ladd-Acosta, C., Leon-Latre, M., Casasnovas, J. A., Chaves, F. J., Navas-Acien, A., Guallar, E., & Tellez-Plaza, M. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological SciencesVolume
373Issue
1748AbstractWe explored the association of metal levels with subclinical atherosclerosis and epigenetic changes in relevant biological pathways. Whole blood DNA Infinium Methylation 450 K data were obtained from 23 of 73 middle age men without clinically evident cardiovascular disease (CVD) who participated in the Aragon Workers Health Study in 2009 (baseline visit) and had available baseline urinary metals and subclinical atherosclerosis measures obtained in 2010–2013 (follow-up visit). The median metal levels were 7.36 μg g-1, 0.33 μg g-1, 0.11 μg g-1 and 0.07 μg g-1, for arsenic (sum of inorganic and methylated species), cadmium, antimony and tungsten, respectively. Urine cadmium and tungsten were associated with femoral and carotid intima-media thickness, respectively (Pearson’s r = 0.27; p = 0.03 in both cases). Among nearest genes to identified differentially methylated regions (DMRs), 46% of metal-DMR genes overlapped with atherosclerosis-DMR genes (p < 0.001). Pathway enrichment analysis of atherosclerosis-DMR genes showed a role in inflammatory, metabolic and transport pathways. In in silico protein-to-protein interaction networks among proteins encoded by 162 and 108 genes attributed to atherosclerosis- and metal-DMRs, respectively, with proteins known to have a role in atherosclerosis pathways, we observed hub proteins in the network associated with both atherosclerosis and metal-DMRs (e.g. SMAD3 and NOP56), and also hub proteins associated with metal-DMRs only but with relevant connections with atherosclerosis effectors (e.g. SSTR5, HDAC4, AP2A2, CXCL12 and SSTR4). Our integrative in silico analysis demonstrates the feasibility of identifying epigenomic regions linked to environmental exposures and potentially involved in relevant pathways for human diseases. While our results support the hypothesis that metal exposures can influence health due to epigenetic changes, larger studies are needed to confirm our pilot results.Inappropriate statistical analysis and reporting in medical research: Perverse incentives and institutional solutions
Russell Localio, A., Stack, C. B., Meibohm, A. R., Ross, E. A., Guallar, E., Wong, J. B., Cornell, J. E., Griswold, M. E., & Goodman, S. N. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Annals of internal medicineVolume
169Issue
8Page(s)
577-578Incidence of diabetes after cancer development a Korean national cohort study
Hwangbo, Y., Kang, D., Kang, M., Kim, S., Lee, E. K., Kim, Y. A., Chang, Y. J., Choi, K. S., Jung, S. Y., Woo, S. M., Ahn, J. S., Sim, S. H., Hong, Y. S., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Guallar, E., Lee, E. S., Kong, S. Y., & Cho, J. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
JAMA OncologyVolume
4Issue
8Page(s)
1099-1105AbstractIMPORTANCE Diabetes is an established risk factor for developing cancer. A limited body of evidence also suggests that cancer can increase the risk of developing new cases of diabetes, but the evidence is inconclusive. OBJECTIVE To evaluate whether the development of cancer is associated with increasing risk of subsequent diabetes. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This cohort study included a nationally representative sample of the Korean general population observed for up to 10 years (January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2013). A total of 524 089 men and women 20 to 70 years of age without diabetes and with no history of cancer at baseline were included. EXPOSURES Incident cancer (time-varying exposure). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Incident type 2 diabetes using insurance claim codes. RESULTS During 3 492 935.6 person-years of follow-up (median follow-up, 7.0 years) in 494 189 individuals (50.0% female; mean [SD] age, 41.8 [12.5] years), 15 130 participants developed cancer and 26 610 participants developed diabetes. After adjustment for age, sex, precancer diabetes risk factors, metabolic factors, and comorbidities, the hazard ratio (HR) for diabetes associated with cancer development was 1.35 (95% CI, 1.26-1.45; P < .001). The excess risk for diabetes was highest in the first 2 years after cancer diagnosis, but it remained elevated throughout follow-up. By cancer type, development of pancreatic (HR, 5.15; 95% CI, 3.32-7.99), kidney (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.34-3.16), liver (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.50-2.54), gallbladder (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.08-2.98), lung (HR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.34-2.24), blood (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.43), breast (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.27-2.01), stomach (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.16-1.58), and thyroid cancer (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.12-1.59) was associated with a significantly increased risk of diabetes. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this large Korean cohort, cancer development increased the risk of subsequent diabetes. These data provide evidence that cancer is associated with an increased risk of diabetes in cancer survivors independent of traditional diabetes risk factors. Physicians should remember that patients with cancer develop other clinical problems, such as diabetes, with higher frequency than individuals without cancer, and should consider routine diabetes screening in these patients.Low thigh muscle mass is associated with coronary artery stenosis among HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected men: The Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS)
Tibuakuu, M., Zhao, D., Saxena, A., Brown, T. T., Jacobson, L. P., Palella, F. J., Witt, M. D., Koletar, S. L., Margolick, J. B., Guallar, E., Korada, S. K. C., Budoff, M. J., Post, W. S., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of Cardiovascular Computed TomographyVolume
12Issue
2Page(s)
131-138AbstractBackground: HIV-infected individuals are at increased risk for both sarcopenia and cardiovascular disease. Whether an association between low muscle mass and subclinical coronary artery disease (CAD) exists, and if it is modified by HIV serostatus, are unknown. Methods: We performed cross-sectional analysis of 513 male MACS participants (72% HIV-infected) who underwent mid-thigh computed tomography (CT) and non-contrast cardiac CT for coronary artery calcium (CAC) during 2010–2013. Of these, 379 also underwent coronary CT angiography for non-calcified coronary plaque (NCP) and obstructive coronary stenosis ≥50%. Multivariable-adjusted Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence risk ratios of associations between low muscle mass (<20th percentile of the HIV-uninfected individuals in the sample) and CAC, NCP and obstructive stenosis. Results: The prevalence of low thigh muscle mass was similar by HIV serostatus (20%). There was no association of low muscle mass with CAC or NCP. However, low thigh muscle mass was significantly associated with a 2.5-fold higher prevalence of obstructive coronary stenosis, after adjustment for demographics and traditional CAD risk factors [PR 2.46 (95% CI 1.51, 4.01)]. This association remained significant after adjustment for adiposity, inflammation, and physical activity. There was no significant interaction by HIV serostatus (p-interaction = 0.90). Conclusions: In this exploratory analysis, low thigh muscle mass was significantly associated with subclinical obstructive coronary stenosis. Additional studies involving larger sample sizes and prospective analyses are needed to confirm the potential utility of measuring mid-thigh muscle mass for identifying individuals at increased risk for obstructive CAD who might benefit from more aggressive risk factor management.Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the development of reflux esophagitis: A cohort study
Min, Y. W., Kim, Y., Gwak, G. Y., Gu, S., Kang, D., Cho, S. J., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Sinn, D. H. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology (Australia)Volume
33Issue
5Page(s)
1053-1058AbstractBackground and Aim: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a hepatic manifestation of the metabolic syndrome, is associated with gastroesophageal reflux disease in cross-sectional studies, but a prospective association has not been evaluated. The current study aimed to determine whether NAFLD increases the risk of incident reflux esophagitis in a large cohort study. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of 34 063 men and women without reflux esophagitis or other upper gastrointestinal disease at baseline who underwent health checkup examinations between January 2003 and December 2013. Fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasound based on standard criteria. Reflux esophagitis was defined by the presence of at least grade A mucosal break on esophagogastroduodenoscopy. Results: The prevalence of NAFLD at baseline was 33.2%. During 153 520.2 person-years of follow-up, the cumulative incidences of reflux esophagitis for participants without and with NAFLD were 9.6% and 13.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). The age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for the risk of reflux esophagitis development in participants with NAFLD compared with those without NAFLD was 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.07–1.23; P < 0.001). However, this association disappeared after adjusting for body mass index and other metabolic factors (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 0.94–1.09; P = 0.79). Similarly, in multivariable-adjusted models, there was no significant association between NAFLD severity and the risk of developing reflux esophagitis. Conclusions: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is not independently associated with the risk of the development of reflux esophagitis, but rather, reflux esophagitis is primarily the consequence of increased body mass index commonly associated with NAFLD.Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease accelerates kidney function decline in patients with chronic kidney disease: A cohort study
Jang, H. R., Kang, D., Sinn, D. H., Gu, S., Cho, S. J., Lee, J. E., Huh, W., Paik, S. W., Ryu, S., Chang, Y., Shafi, T., Lazo, M., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Gwak, G. Y. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Scientific reportsVolume
8Issue
1AbstractThis study aimed to investigate the association of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its severity with the decline in kidney function in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We conducted a cohort study of 1,525 CKD patients who underwent repeated health check-up examinations from January 2003 through December 2013. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonography and its severity was assessed by the NAFLD fibrosis score. At baseline, the prevalence of NAFLD was 40.9%, and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (EGFR) was 59.1 ml/min/1.73 m2. The average follow-up was 6.5 years. The age- and sex-adjusted decline in EGFR was greater in patients with NAFLD (-0.79% per year, 95% CI -1.31%, -0.27%) compared to those without it (0.30%, 95% CI -0.14%, 0.76%; p = 0.002). In multivariable adjusted models, the average difference in annual percent change in decline in EGFR comparing patients with NAFLD to those without NAFLD was -1.06% (-1.73%, -0.38%; p = 0.002). The decline in EGFR associated with NAFLD was greater in patients with higher NAFLD fibrosis score, in those with proteinuria or with low EGFR at baseline (<45 ml/min/1.73 m2), and in those who were smokers and hypertensive. Therefore, NAFLD is independently associated with CKD progression.Physical activity and impaired left ventricular relaxation in middle aged adults
Ryu, S., Chang, Y., Kang, J., Yun, K. E., Jung, H. S., Kim, C. W., Cho, J., Lima, J. A., Sung, K. C., Shin, H., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Scientific reportsVolume
8Issue
1AbstractThe aim of this study was to examine the relationship between physical activity level and impaired left ventricular (LV) relaxation in a large sample of apparently healthy men and women. We conducted a cross-sectional study in 57,449 adults who underwent echocardiography as part of a comprehensive health examination between March 2011 and December 2014. Physical activity level was assessed using the Korean version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire Short Form. The presence of impaired LV relaxation was determined based on echocardiographic findings. Physical activity levels were inversely associated with the prevalence of impaired LV relaxation. The multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for impaired LV relaxation comparing minimally active and health-enhancing physically active groups to the inactive group were 0.84 (0.77–0.91) and 0.64 (0.58–0.72), respectively (P for trend < 0.001). These associations were modified by sex (p for interaction <0.001), with the inverse association observed in men, but not in women. This study demonstrated an inverse linear association between physical activity level and impaired LV relaxation in a large sample of middle-aged Koreans independent of potential confounders. Our findings suggest that increasing physical activity may be independently important in reducing the risk of impaired LV relaxation.Progressive myocardial injury is associated with mortality in the acute respiratory distress syndrome
Metkus, T. S., Guallar, E., Sokoll, L., Morrow, D. A., Tomaselli, G., Brower, R., Kim, B. S., Schulman, S., & Korley, F. K. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of Critical CareVolume
48Page(s)
26-31AbstractPurpose: Myocardial injury connotes worse prognosis in the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), however the prognostic connotation of changes in cardiac troponin (cTn) levels in ARDS patients is not known. Methods: We performed a study of 908 ARDS patients enrolled in two previously completed ARDS Network trials. We obtained plasma samples via the NIH BIOLINCC repository and measured cTn using the ARCHITECT STAT high sensitivity troponin-I assay (Abbott Laboratories) at trial day 0 and 3. We constructed Cox proportional hazard models to determine the association between 60-day mortality and quintiles of percentage change in high-sensitivity troponin (ΔhsTnI). Results: The median percent change in hsTnI (%ΔhsTnI) from day 0 to day 3 was −58.2% (IQR -79.0 to 0%). After multivariable adjustment, participants with a 32.1% or greater increase in hsTnI between day 0 and day 3 (highest quintile) had a 2.27 fold increased risk for mortality (95% CI 1.29 – 3.99, p = 0.002) as well as fewer ventilator-free and ICU-free days compared to the lowest quintile. Conclusion: Progressive myocardial injury in ARDS patients is associated with worse outcome, independent of severity of critical illness. Investigation of the mechanisms underlying this relationship is warranted to guide possible strategies to mitigate myocardial injury in ARDS.Racial differences in comorbidity profile among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Lee, H., Shin, S. H., Gu, S., Zhao, D., Kang, D., Joi, Y. R., Suh, G. Y., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Park, H. Y. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
BMC MedicineVolume
16Issue
1AbstractBackground: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is often accompanied by multiple comorbidities, which are associated with an increased risk of exacerbation, a poor health-related quality of life, and high mortality. However, differences in comorbidity profile by race and ethnicity in COPD patients have not been fully elucidated. Methods: Participants aged 40 to 79 years with spirometry-defined COPD from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (2007-2012) and from the Korea NHANES (2007-2015) were analyzed to compare the prevalence of comorbidities by race and ethnicity group. Comorbidities were defined using questionnaire data, physical exams, and laboratory tests. Results: Non-Hispanic Whites had the highest prevalence of dyslipidemia (65.5%), myocardial infarction (6.2%), osteoarthritis (40.1%), and osteoporosis (13.6%), while non-Hispanic Blacks had the highest prevalence of asthma (24.0%), hypertension (70.2%), stroke (7.3%), diabetes mellitus (DM) (23.3%), anemia (16.4%), and rheumatoid arthritis (11.9%). Compared to non-Hispanic Whites, non-Hispanic Blacks had a significantly higher prevalence of hypertension, stroke, DM, anemia, and rheumatoid arthritis after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and smoking status, while Hispanics had a significantly higher prevalence of DM and anemia, and Koreans had significantly lower prevalences of all comorbidities except stroke, DM, and anemia. Conclusions: COPD-related comorbidities varied significantly by race and ethnicity, and different strategies may be required for the optimal management of COPD and its comorbidities in different race and ethnicity groups.Relation of Sex Hormone Levels with Prevalent and 10-Year Change in Aortic Distensibility Assessed by MRI: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis
Subramanya, V., Ambale-Venkatesh, B., Ohyama, Y., Zhao, D., Nwabuo, C. C., Post, W. S., Guallar, E., Ouyang, P., Shah, S. J., Allison, M. A., Ndumele, C. E., Vaidya, D., Bluemke, D. A., Lima, J. A., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
American Journal of HypertensionVolume
31Issue
7Page(s)
774-783AbstractBackground: Women experience a steeper decline in aortic elasticity related to aging compared to men. We examined whether sex hormone levels were associated with ascending aortic distensibility (AAD) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Methods: We studied 1,345 postmenopausal women and 1,532 men aged 45-84 years, who had serum sex hormone levels, AAD measured by phase-contrast cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, and ejection fraction>50% at baseline. Among these participants, 457 women and 548 men returned for follow-up magnetic resonance imaging 10-years later. Stratified by sex, and using mixed effects linear regression methods, we examined associations of sex hormones (as tertiles) with baseline and annual change in log-transformed AAD (mm Hg-110-3), adjusting for demographics, body size, lifestyle factors, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, hypertensive medication use (and in women, for hormone therapy use and years since menopause). Results: The mean (SD) age was 65 (9) for women and 62 (10) years for men. AAD was lower in women than men (P < 0.001). In adjusted cross-sectional analysis, the highest tertile of free testosterone (compared to lowest) in women was significantly associated with lower AAD [-0.10 (-0.19, -0.01)] and the highest tertile of estradiol in men was associated with greater AAD [0.12 (0.04, 0.20)]. There were no associations of sex hormones with change in AAD over 10 years, albeit in a smaller sample size. Conclusions: Lower free testosterone in women and higher estradiol in men were associated with greater aortic distensibility at baseline, but not longitudinally. Sex hormone levels may account for differences in AAD between women and men.Reply: Free Androgen Index as a Biomarker of Increased Cardiovascular Risk in Postmenopausal Women
Zhao, D., Guallar, E., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.). In Journal of the American College of Cardiology (1–).Publication year
2018Volume
72Issue
16Page(s)
1987Resting heart rate and the incidence and progression of valvular calcium: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)
Amoakwa, K., Fashanu, O. E., Tibuakuu, M., Zhao, D., Guallar, E., Whelton, S. P., O’Neal, W. T., Post, W. S., Budoff, M. J., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
AtherosclerosisVolume
273Page(s)
45-52AbstractBackground and aims: Left-sided valvular calcification is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Resting heart rate (RHR) may influence valvular calcium progression through shear stress. Whether RHR, an established CVD risk factor, is associated with valvular calcium progression is unknown. We assessed whether RHR predicts incidence and progression of mitral annular calcium (MAC) and aortic valve calcium (AVC) in a community-based cohort free of CVD at baseline. Methods: RHR was obtained from baseline electrocardiograms of 5498 MESA participants. MAC and AVC were quantified using Agatston scoring from cardiac computed tomography scans obtained at baseline and at a second examination during follow-up. We examined associations of RHR with incident MAC/AVC and annual change in MAC/AVC scores, after adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, physical activity, and atrioventricular nodal blocker use. Results: At baseline, participants had mean age of 62 ± 10 years and mean RHR of 63 ± 10 bpm; 12.3% and 8.9% had prevalent AVC and MAC, respectively. Over a median of 2.3 years, 4.1% and 4.5% developed incident AVC and MAC, respectively. Each 10 bpm higher RHR was significantly associated with incident MAC [Risk Ratio 1.17 (95% CI 1.03–1.34)], but not incident AVC. However, RHR was associated with AVC progression [β = 1.62 (0.45–2.80) Agatston units/year for every 10 bpm increment], but not MAC progression. Conclusions: Higher RHR was associated with MAC incidence and AVC progression, independent of traditional CVD risk factors. Future studies are needed to determine whether modification of RHR through lifestyle or pharmacologic interventions can reduce valvular calcium incidence or progression.Risk factors control for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in men: Evidence from the Aragon Workers Health Study (AWHS)
Aguilar-Palacio, I., Malo, S., Feja, C., Lallana, M., León-Latre, M., Casasnovas, J. A., Rabanaque, M., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
PloS oneVolume
13Issue
2AbstractBenefits of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors control are well known, but goals achievement remains low. The objective of this study is to evaluate the prevalence of CVD risk factors among men ina worker’s cohort with no previous CVD, to study control variations across time and the factors associated with poor control. To this end, we conducted a cohort reexamination (2010–2014) within the context of the Aragon Workers Health Study (AWHS). Data from working characteristics, analytical values and pharmacological prescription were included in the analysis. Prevalences of risk factor diagnosis and control were calculated, as well as factors associated with poor control. The prevalence of CVD risk factors was high. In 2014dyslipidaemia was the most prevalent (85.2%) followed by Hypertension (HT) (42.0%). People under treatment increased for the period analysed (p<0.001). The proportion of people treated varied from 72.2% in Diabetes Mellitus to 31.1% in dyslipidaemia in 2014. 46.2% of the workers with HT were controlled, decreasing to 21.9% in Diabetes and 11.0% in dyslipidaemia (2014). Working in a turn different to central shift was associated with poor control, especially for those working at night with HT (Odds Ratio in 2010: 3.6; Confidence Interval 95% 1.8–7.4) and dyslipidaemia (Odds Ratio 2010: 4.7; Confidence Interval 95% 1.3–16.4). We conclude that, although CVD control has increased significantly for the period studied, there are still many people that do not receive any treatment, and control goals are normally not achieved.Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentrations Are Associated with Computed Tomography Markers of Subclinical Interstitial Lung Disease among Community-Dwelling Adults in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)
Kim, S. M., Zhao, D., Podolanczuk, A. J., Lutsey, P. L., Guallar, E., Kawut, S. M., Barr, R. G., De Boer, I. H., Kestenbaum, B. R., Lederer, D. J., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
Journal of NutritionVolume
148Issue
7Page(s)
1126-1134AbstractBackground: Activated vitamin D has anti-inflammatory properties. 25-Hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] deficiency might contribute to subclinical interstitial lung disease (ILD). Objective: We examined associations between serum 25(OH)D concentrations and subclinical ILD among middle-aged to older adults who were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline. Methods: We studied 6302 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants who had baseline serum 25(OH)D concentrations and computed tomography (CT) imaging spanning ≤ 10 y. Baseline cardiac CT scans (2000–2002) included partial lung fields. Some participants had follow-up cardiac CT scans at exams 2–5 and a full-lung CT scan at exam 5 (2010–2012), with a mean ± SD of 2.1 ± 1.0 scans. Subclinical ILD was defined quantitatively as high-attenuation areas (HAAs) between –600 and –250 Hounsfield units. We assessed associations of 25(OH)D with adjusted HAA volumes and HAA progression. We also examined associations between baseline 25(OH)D and the presence of interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) assessed qualitatively (yes or no) from full-lung CT scans at exam 5. Models were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle factors (including smoking), and lung volumes. Results: The cohort's mean ± SD characteristics were 62.2 ± 10 y for age, 25.8 ± 10.9 ng/mL for 25(OH)D concentrations, and 28.3 ± 5.4 for body mass index (kg/m2); 53% were women, with 39% white, 27% black, 22% Hispanic, and 12% Chinese race/ethnicities. Thirty-three percent had replete (≥30 ng/mL), 35% intermediate (20 to <30 ng/mL), and 32% deficient (<20 ng/mL) 25(OH)D concentrations. Compared with those with replete concentrations, participants with 25(OH)D deficiency had greater adjusted HAA volume at baseline (2.7 cm3; 95% CI: 0.9, 4.5 cm3) and increased progression over a median of 4.3 y of follow-up (2.7 cm3; 95% CI: 0.9, 4.4 cm3) (P < 0.05). 25(OH)D deficiency was also associated with increased prevalence of ILAs 10 y later (OR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.2). Conclusions: Vitamin D deficiency is independently associated with subclinical ILD and its progression, based on both increased HAAs and ILAs, in a community-based population. Further studies are needed to examine whether vitamin D repletion can prevent ILD or slow its progression. The MESA cohort design is registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00005487.Serum uric acid levels are associated with cardiovascular risk score: A post hoc analysis of the EURIKA study
Borghi, C., Rodriguez-Artalejo, F., De Backer, G., Dallongeville, J., Medina, J., Nuevo, J., Guallar, E., Perk, J., Banegas, J. R., Tubach, F., Roy, C., & Halcox, J. P. (n.d.).Publication year
2018Journal title
International Journal of CardiologyVolume
253Page(s)
167-173AbstractBackground Reports are conflicting on whether serum uric acid (sUA) levels are independently associated with increased cardiovascular (CV) death risk. Methods This post hoc analysis assessed the relationship between sUA levels and CV death risk score in 7531 patients from the cross-sectional, multinational EURIKA study (NCT00882336). Patients had at least one CV risk factor but no clinical CV disease. Ten-year risk of CV death was estimated using SCORE-HDL and SCORE algorithms, categorized as low (< 1%), intermediate (1% to < 5%), high (≥ 5% to < 10%) or very high (≥ 10%). Results Mean serum sUA levels increased significantly with increasing CV death risk category in the overall population and in subgroups stratified by diuretics use or renal function (all P < 0.0001). Multivariate ordinal logistic regression analyses, adjusted for factors significantly associated with CV death risk in univariate analyses (study country, body mass index, number of CV risk factors and comorbidities, use of lipid lowering therapies, antihypertensives and antidiabetics), showed a significant association between sUA levels and SCORE-HDL category in the overall population (OR: 1.39 [95% CI: 1.34–1.44]) and all subgroups (using diuretics: 1.32 [1.24–1.40]; not using diuretics: 1.46 [1.39–1.53]; estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2: 1.30 [1.22–1.38]; eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2: 1.44 [1.38–1.51]; all P < 0.0001). Similar results were obtained when using SCORE. Conclusions Higher sUA levels are associated with progressively higher 10-year CV death risk score in patients with at least one CV risk factor but no CV disease.