Eliseo Guallar
Eliseo Guallar
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Chair and Professor of the Department of Epidemiology
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Professional overview
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Dr. Guallar is an epidemiologist whose research is focused on the study of cardiovascular disease epidemiology and prevention, with an emphasis on evaluating the role of environmental and nutritional exposures in the development of cardiovascular disease. This research has made critically important and novel contributions to our understanding of risk factors for chronic disease both in the US and globally. He has published seminal articles and is a leading figure in an emerging field highlighting the risks of exposure to levels of metals previously considered safe for cardiovascular health. In addition to his work in toxic metals, Dr. Guallar has made important contributions to understanding the effects of certain micronutrients and vitamin supplements on cardiovascular disease risk and outcomes. Publications in this area were influential in changing consumer habits and attitudes towards these products. Much of this research has been funded by the National Institutes of Health, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the American Heart Association, the CDC, and other funders.
Dr. Guallar was the founding director of the Center for Clinical Epidemiology at the Samsung Medical Center and a lead investigator of the Kangbuk Samsung Cohort Study at the Kangbuk Samsung Hospital since its inception in 2010. Dr. Guallar has published over 500 research papers in peer-reviewed journals. He is also a Deputy Editor for Methods at the Annals of Internal Medicine and a past member and Chair of the Cancer, Heart, and Sleep Study Section at the National Institutes of Health.
Prior to teaching at NYU, Dr. Guallar was a Professor of Epidemiology and Medicine at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health and a core faculty member of the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology, and Clinical Research at Johns Hopkins. In the Department of Epidemiology, Dr. Guallar was the Director of the Environmental and Occupational Area of Concentration and the Co-Director of the PhD Program. Dr. Guallar was also an adjunct Professor at the Department of Clinical Research Design and Evaluation of the Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Science and Technology, Sungkyunkwan University, in Seoul, Korea.
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Education
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Diploma of English, Spanish Official School of Languages at Zaragoza (Escuela Oficial de Idiomas de Zaragoza), Zaragoza, SpainMD, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, SpainMPH, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MNDrPH, Harvard University, Boston, MA
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Honors and awards
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Six Honor Calls in the MD Program, University of Zaragoza School of Medicine (1981)Fellow of Spain’s Program of Training of Graduate Research of the Ministry of Education and Science, University of Zaragoza (1988)Fulbright Scholar, sponsored by Spain’s Ministry of Health and Consumer Affairs (1989)Faculty Innovation Award, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health (2001)Scientist Development Award, American Heart Association (2002)Fellow of the American Heart Association, Council on Epidemiology and Prevention (2013)Advising, Mentoring, and Teaching Recognition Award 2014 – 2015, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health (2015)High Impact Research Icon, University of Malaya (2015)
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Publications
Publications
Aortic Arch Pulse Wave Velocity Assessed by Magnetic Resonance Imaging as a Predictor of Incident Cardiovascular Events: The MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)
AbstractOhyama, Y., Ambale-Venkatesh, B., Noda, C., Kim, J. Y., Tanami, Y., Teixido-Tura, G., Chugh, A. R., Redheuil, A., Liu, C. Y., Wu, C. O., Hundley, W. G., Bluemke, D. A., Guallar, E., & Lima, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
HypertensionVolume
70Issue
3Page(s)
524-530AbstractThe predictive value of aortic arch pulse wave velocity (PWV) assessed by magnetic resonance imaging for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events has not been fully established. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association of arch PWV with incident CVD events in MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Aortic arch PWV was measured using magnetic resonance imaging at baseline in 3527 MESA participants (mean age, 62±10 years at baseline; 47% men) free of overt CVD. Cox regression was used to evaluate the risk of incident CVD (coronary heart disease, stroke, transient ischemic attack, or heart failure) in relation to arch PWV adjusted for age, sex, race, and CVD risk factors. The median value of arch PWV was 7.4 m/s (interquartile range, 5.6-10.2). There was significant interaction between arch PWV and age for outcomes, so analysis was stratified by age categories (45-54 and >54 years). There were 456 CVD events during the 10-year follow-up. Forty-five to 54-year-old participants had significant association of arch PWV with incident CVD independent of CVD risk factors (hazard ratio, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.95; P=0.018; per 1-SD increase for logarithmically transformed PWV), whereas >54-year group did not (P=0.93). Aortic arch PWV assessed by magnetic resonance imaging is a significant predictor of CVD events among middle-aged (45-54 years old) individuals, whereas arch PWV is not associated with CVD among an elderly in a large multiethnic population.Association between mitochondrial DNA copy number and sudden cardiac death: Findings from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC)
AbstractZhang, Y., Guallar, E., Ashar, F. N., Longchamps, R. J., Castellani, C. A., Lane, J., Grove, M. L., Coresh, J., Sotoodehnia, N., Ilkhanoff, L., Boerwinkle, E., Pankratz, N., & Arking, D. E. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
European Heart JournalVolume
38Issue
46Page(s)
3443-3448AbstractAims Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a major public health burden. Mitochondrial dysfunction has been implicated in a wide range of cardiovascular diseases including cardiomyopathy, heart failure, and arrhythmias, but it is unknown if it also contributes to SCD risk. We sought to examine the prospective association between mtDNA copy number (mtDNA-CN), a surrogate marker of mitochondrial function, and SCD risk. Methods and results We measured baseline mtDNA-CN in 11 093 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. mtDNA copy number was calculated from probe intensities of mitochondrial single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) on the Affymetrix Genome-Wide Human SNP Array 6.0. Sudden cardiac death was defined as a sudden pulseless condition presumed due to a ventricular tachyarrhythmia in a previously stable individual without evidence of a non-cardiac cause of cardiac arrest. Sudden cardiac death cases were reviewed and adjudicated by an expert committee. During a median follow-up of 20.4 years, we observed 361 SCD cases. After adjusting for age, race, sex, and centre, the hazard ratio for SCD comparing the 1st to the 5th quintiles of mtDNA-CN was 2.24 (95% confidence interval 1.58-3.19; P-trend <0.001). When further adjusting for traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors, prevalent coronary heart disease, heart rate, QT interval, and QRS duration, the association remained statistically significant. Spline regression models showed that the association was approximately linear over the range of mtDNA-CN values. No apparent interaction by race or by sex was detected. Conclusion In this community-based prospective study, mtDNA-CN in peripheral blood was inversely associated with the risk of SCD.Association of low-moderate arsenic exposure and arsenic metabolism with incident diabetes and insulin resistance in the strong heart family study
AbstractGrau-Perez, M., Kuo, C. C., Gribble, M. O., Balakrishnan, P., Spratlen, M. J., Vaidya, D., Francesconi, K. A., Goessler, W., Guallar, E., Silbergeld, E. K., Umans, J. G., Best, L. G., Lee, E. T., Howard, B. V., Cole, S. A., & Navas-Acien, A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Environmental health perspectivesVolume
125Issue
12AbstractBACKGROUND: High arsenic exposure has been related to diabetes, but at low-moderate levels the evidence is mixed. Arsenic metabolism, which is partly genetically controlled and may rely on certain B vitamins, plays a role in arsenic toxicity. OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the prospective association of arsenic exposure and metabolism with type 2 diabetes and insulin resistance. METHODS: We included 1,838 American Indian men and women free of diabetes (median age, 36 y). Arsenic exposure was assessed as the sum of inorganic arsenic (iAs), monomethylarsonate (MMA), and dimethylarsinate (DMA) urine concentrations (RAs). Arsenic metabolism was evaluated by the proportions of iAs, MMA, and DMA over their sum (iAs%, MMA%, and DMA%). Homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR) was measured at baseline and follow-up visits. Incident diabetes was evaluated at follow-up. RESULTS: Median RAs, iAs%, MMA%, and DMA% was 4:4 lg=g creatinine, 9.5%, 14.4%, and 75.6%, respectively. Over 10,327 person-years of follow-up, 252 participants developed diabetes. Median HOMA2-IR at baseline was 1.5. The fully adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] for incident diabetes per an interquartile range increase in RAs was 1.57 (95% CI: 1.18, 2.08) in participants without prediabetes at baseline. Arsenic metabolism was not associated with incident diabetes. RAs was positively associated with HOMA2-IR at baseline but negatively with HOMA2-IR at follow-up. Increased MMA% was associated with lower HOMA2-IR when either iAs% or DMA% decreased. The association of arsenic metabolism with HOMA2-IR differed by B-vitamin intake and AS3MT genetics variants. CONCLUSIONS: Among participants without baseline prediabetes, arsenic exposure was associated with incident diabetes. Low MMA% was cross-sectional and prospectively associated with higher HOMA2-IR. Research is needed to confirm possible interactions of arsenic metabolism with B vitamins and AS3MT variants on diabetes risk. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP2566.Association of mitochondrial DNA copy number with cardiovascular disease
AbstractAshar, F. N., Zhang, Y., Longchamps, R. J., Lane, J., Moes, A., Grove, M. L., Mychaleckyj, J. C., Taylor, K. D., Coresh, J., Rotter, J. I., Boerwinkle, E., Pankratz, N., Guallar, E., & Arking, D. E. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
JAMA CardiologyVolume
2Issue
11Page(s)
1247-1255AbstractIMPORTANCE: Mitochondrial dysfunction is a core component of the aging process and may play a key role in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNA-CN), which represents the number of mitochondria per cell and number of mitochondrial genomes per mitochondrion, is an indirect biomarker of mitochondrial function. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether mtDNA-CN, measured in an easily accessible tissue (buffy coat/circulating leukocytes), can improve risk classification for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and help guide initiation of statin therapy for primary prevention of CVD. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, population-based cohort analysis including 21 870 participants (20 163 free from CVD at baseline) from 3 studies: Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), and Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). The mean follow-up was 13.5 years. The study included 11 153 participants from ARIC, 4830 from CHS, and 5887 from MESA. Analysis of the data was conducted from March 10, 2014, to January 29, 2017. EXPOSURES: Mitochondrial DNA-CN measured from buffy coat/circulating leukocytes. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident CVD, which combines coronary heart disease, defined as the first incident myocardial infarction or death owing to coronary heart disease, and stroke, defined as the first nonfatal stroke or death owing to stroke. RESULTS: Of the 21 870 participants, the mean age was 62.4 years (ARIC, 57.9 years; MESA, 62.4 years; and CHS, 72.5 years), and 54.7% of participants were women. The hazard ratios for incident coronary heart disease, stroke, and CVD associated with a 1-SD decrease in mtDNA-CN were 1.29 (95% CI, 1.24-1.33), 1.11 (95% CI, 1.06-1.16), and 1.23 (95% CI, 1.19-1.26). The associations persisted after adjustment for traditional CVD risk factors. Addition of mtDNA-CN to the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohorts Equations for estimating 10-year hard atherosclerosis CVD risk was associated with improved risk classification (continuous net reclassification index, 0.194; 95% CI, 0.130-0.258; P < .001). Mitochondrial DNA-CN further improved sensitivity and specificity for the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association recommendations on initiating statin therapy for primary prevention of ASCVD (net 221 individuals appropriately downclassified and net 15 individuals appropriately upclassified). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Mitochondrial DNA-CN was independently associated with incident CVD in 3 large prospective studies and may have potential clinical utility in improving CVD risk classification.Association of parathyroid hormone with 20-year cognitive decline
AbstractKim, S. M., Zhao, D., Schneider, A. L., Korada, S. K., Lutsey, P. L., Guallar, E., Alonso, A., Gwen Windham, B., Gottesman, R. F., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
NeurologyVolume
89Issue
9Page(s)
918-926AbstractObjective: We hypothesized that elevated parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels will be independently associated with 20-year cognitive decline in a large population-based cohort. Methods: We studied 12,964 middle-aged white and black ARIC participants without a history of prior stroke who, in 1990-1992 (baseline), had serum PTH levels measured and cognitive function testing, with repeat cognitive testing performed at up to 2 follow-up visits. Cognitive testing included the Delayed Word Recall, the Digit Symbol Substitution, and the Word Fluency tests, which were summed as a global Z score. Using mixed-effects models, we compared the relative decline in individual and global cognitive scores between each of the top 3 quartiles of PTH levels to the reference bottom quartile. We adjusted for demographic variables, education, vascular risk factors, and levels of calcium, phosphate, and vitamin D. We imputed missing covariate and follow-up cognitive data to account for attrition. Results: The mean (SD) age of our cohort was 57 (6) years, 57% were women, and 24% were black. There was no cross-sectional association of elevated PTH with cognitive global Z score at baseline (p > 0.05). Over a median of 20.7 years, participants in each PTH quartile showed a decline in cognitive function. However, there was no significant difference in cognitive decline between each of the top 3 quartiles and the lowest reference quartile (p > 0.05). In a subset, there was also no association of higher mid-life PTH levels with late-life prevalent adjudicated dementia (p > 0.05). Conclusions: Our work does not support an independent influence of PTH on cognitive decline in this population-based cohort study.Associations of Coffee, Tea, and Caffeine Intake with Coronary Artery Calcification and Cardiovascular Events
AbstractMiller, P. E., Zhao, D., Frazier-Wood, A. C., Michos, E. D., Averill, M., Sandfort, V., Burke, G. L., Polak, J. F., Lima, J. A., Post, W. S., Blumenthal, R. S., Guallar, E., & Martin, S. S. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
American Journal of MedicineVolume
130Issue
2Page(s)
188-197.e5AbstractBackground Coffee and tea are 2 of the most commonly consumed beverages in the world. The association of coffee and tea intake with coronary artery calcium and major adverse cardiovascular events remains uncertain. Methods We examined 6508 ethnically diverse participants with available coffee and tea data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Intake for each was classified as never, occasional (<1 cup per day), and regular (≥1 cup per day). A coronary artery calcium progression ratio was derived from mixed effect regression models using loge(calcium score+1) as the outcome, with coefficients exponentiated to reflect coronary artery calcium progression ratio versus the reference. Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to evaluate the association between beverage intake and incident cardiovascular events. Results Over a median follow-up of 5.3 years for coronary artery calcium and 11.1 years for cardiovascular events, participants who regularly drank tea (≥1 cup per day) had a slower progression of coronary artery calcium compared with never drinkers after multivariable adjustment. This correlated with a statistically significant lower incidence of cardiovascular events for ≥1 cup per day tea drinkers (adjusted hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.53-0.95). Compared with never coffee drinkers, regular coffee intake (≥1 cup per day) was not statistically associated with coronary artery calcium progression or cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio 0.97; 95% confidence interval 0.78-1.20). Caffeine intake was marginally inversely associated with coronary artery calcium progression. Conclusions Moderate tea drinkers had slower progression of coronary artery calcium and reduced risk for cardiovascular events. Future research is needed to understand the potentially protective nature of moderate tea intake.Associations of Lipoprotein(a) levels with incident atrial fibrillation and Ischemic Stroke: The ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study
AbstractAronis, K. N., Di Zhao, Z., Hoogeveen, R. C., Alonso, A., Ballantyne, C. M., Guallar, E., Jones, S. R., Martin, S. S., Nazarian, S., Steffen, B. T., Virani, S. S., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Journal of the American Heart AssociationVolume
6Issue
12AbstractBackground--Lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) is proatherosclerotic and prothrombotic, causally related to coronary disease, and associated with other cardiovascular diseases. The association of Lp(a) with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and with ischemic stroke among individuals with AF remains to be elucidated. Methods and Results--In the community-based ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study cohort, Lp(a) levels were measured by a Denka Seiken assay at visit 4 (1996-1998). We used multivariable-adjusted Cox models to compare AF and ischemic stroke risk across Lp(a) levels. First, we evaluated incident AF in 9908 participants free of AF at baseline. AF was ascertained by electrocardiography at study visits, hospital International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) codes, and death certificates. We then evaluated incident ischemic stroke in 10 127 participants free of stroke at baseline. Stroke was identified by annual phone calls, hospital ICD-9 Revision codes, and death certificates. The baseline age was 62.7±5.6 years. Median Lp(a) levels were 13.3 mg/dL (interquartile range, 5.2-39.7 mg/dL). Median follow-up was 13.9 and 15.8 years for AF and stroke, respectively. Lp(a) was not associated with incident AF (hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-1.17), comparing those with Lp(a) ≥50 with those with Lp(a) < 10 mg/dL. High Lp(a) was associated with a 42% relative increase in stroke risk among participants without AF (hazard ratio, 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.90) but not in those with AF (hazard ratio, 1.06; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-1.61 [P interaction for AF=0.25]). There were no interactions by race or sex. No association was found for cardioembolic stroke subtype. Conclusions--High Lp(a) levels were not associated with incident AF. Lp(a) levels were associated with increased ischemic stroke risk, primarily among individuals without AF but not in those with AF.Attitudes toward cancer and cancer patients in an Urban Iranian population
AbstractBadihian, S., Choi, E. K., Kim, I. R., Parnia, A., Manouchehri, N., Badihian, N., Tanha, J. M., Guallar, E., & Cho, J. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
OncologistVolume
22Issue
8Page(s)
944-950AbstractBackground. Because of the significant incidence and mortality of cancer in Iran, a Comprehensive National Cancer Control Program for the prevention and early detection of cancer was launched in 2007. However, cancer awareness and screening rates in Iran did not improve. This study aimed to evaluate public attitudes toward cancer and cancer patients in Iran. Materials and Methods.We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 953 non-institutionalized individuals in Isfahan, Iran, from November 2014 to February 2015. We collected data on attitudes toward cancer in three domains (impossibility of recovery, cancer stereotypes, and discrimination), as well as questions on willingness to disclose a cancer diagnosis. Results. Among all participants, 33.9% agreed that it is very difficult to regain one’s health after a cancer diagnosis, 17.4% felt uncomfortable with a cancer patient, and 26.9% said that they would avoid marrying people whose family members had cancer. While 88.9% of study participants said that cancer patients deserve to be protected in society, 53.3% and 48.4% of participants agreed that they would not disclose a cancer diagnosis to neighbors and coworkers, respectively. Conclusion. Negative attitudes with respect to impossibility of recovery and discrimination toward cancer and cancer patients were common among urban Iranians. Most people would not disclose a cancer diagnosis to others in spite of advancements in cancer diagnosis and treatment, reflecting unfavorable attitudes toward cancer and cancer patients in society. Successful implementation of cancer awareness and prevention programs in Iran may require social changes based on adequate information on cancer and cancer patients.Baseline and change in uric acid concentration over time are associated with incident hypertension in large Korean cohort
AbstractSung, K. C., Byrne, C. D., Ryu, S., Lee, J. Y., Lee, S. H., Kim, J. Y., Kim, S. H., Wild, S. H., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
American Journal of HypertensionVolume
30Issue
1Page(s)
42-50AbstractBACKGROUND It is uncertain whether high-baseline uric acid (UA) or change in UA concentration over time is related to development of incident hypertension. To investigate relationships between: (i) baseline serum UA concentration and (ii) change in UA concentration and incident hypertension. METHODS About 96,606 Korean individuals (with follow-up UA data available for 56,085 people) participating in a health check program was undertaken. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident hypertension according to UA quartiles regarding the lowest UA quartile as the reference, and also according to change in UA concentration comparing individuals with an increase in UA to those with a decrease in UA concentration over time. RESULTS Total follow up time was 8 years (median follow-up 3.3 years; interquartile range, 1.9-5.1). About 10,405 cases of incident hypertension occurred. In the fully adjusted regression models, the HRs (95% CI) for incident hypertension comparing the highest vs. the lowest quartiles of UA were 1.29 (1.19-1.38) in men and 1.24 (1.09-1.42) in women, with statistically significant P for trend for both gender. Additionally, stable or increasing UA concentration over time was associated with increased risk of incident hypertension, particularly in participants with baseline UA concentration ≥median (aHRs 1.14; 95% CI (1.03-1.26) and 1.18; 95% CI (0.98-1.40) in men and women, respectively). CONCLUSIONS High initial UA concentration and increases in UA concentration over time should be considered independent risk factors for hypertension.Cardiovascular Event Prediction by Machine Learning: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis
AbstractAmbale-Venkatesh, B., Yang, X., Wu, C. O., Liu, K., Gregory Hundley, W., McClelland, R., Gomes, A. S., Folsom, A. R., Shea, S., Guallar, E., Bluemke, D. A., & Lima, J. A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Circulation researchVolume
121Issue
9Page(s)
1092-1101AbstractRationale: Machine learning may be useful to characterize cardiovascular risk, predict outcomes, and identify biomarkers in population studies. Objective: To test the ability of random survival forests, a machine learning technique, to predict 6 cardiovascular outcomes in comparison to standard cardiovascular risk scores. Methods and Results: We included participants from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Baseline measurements were used to predict cardiovascular outcomes over 12 years of follow-up. MESA was designed to study progression of subclinical disease to cardiovascular events where participants were initially free of cardiovascular disease. All 6814 participants from MESA, aged 45 to 84 years, from 4 ethnicities, and 6 centers across the United States were included. Seven-hundred thirty-five variables from imaging and noninvasive tests, questionnaires, and biomarker panels were obtained. We used the random survival forests technique to identify the top-20 predictors of each outcome. Imaging, electrocardiography, and serum biomarkers featured heavily on the top-20 lists as opposed to traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Age was the most important predictor for all-cause mortality. Fasting glucose levels and carotid ultrasonography measures were important predictors of stroke. Coronary Artery Calcium score was the most important predictor of coronary heart disease and all atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease combined outcomes. Left ventricular structure and function and cardiac troponin-T were among the top predictors for incident heart failure. Creatinine, age, and ankle-brachial index were among the top predictors of atrial fibrillation. TNF-α (tissue necrosis factor-α) and IL (interleukin)-2 soluble receptors and NT-proBNP (N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide) levels were important across all outcomes. The random survival forests technique performed better than established risk scores with increased prediction accuracy (decreased Brier score by 10%-25%). Conclusions: Machine learning in conjunction with deep phenotyping improves prediction accuracy in cardiovascular event prediction in an initially asymptomatic population. These methods may lead to greater insights on subclinical disease markers without apriori assumptions of causality. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00005487.Chronic arsenic exposure and risk of carotid artery disease: The Strong Heart Study
AbstractMateen, F. J., Grau-Perez, M., Pollak, J. S., Moon, K. A., Howard, B. V., Umans, J. G., Best, L. G., Francesconi, K. A., Goessler, W., Crainiceanu, C., Guallar, E., Devereux, R. B., Roman, M. J., & Navas-Acien, A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Environmental ResearchVolume
157Page(s)
127-134AbstractBackground Inorganic arsenic exposure from naturally contaminated groundwater is related to vascular disease. No prospective studies have evaluated the association between arsenic and carotid atherosclerosis at low-moderate levels. We examined the association of long-term, low-moderate inorganic arsenic exposure with carotid arterial disease. Methods American Indians, 45–74 years old, in Arizona, Oklahoma, and North and South Dakota had arsenic concentrations (sum of inorganic and methylated species, μg/g urine creatinine) measured from baseline urine samples (1989–1991). Carotid artery ultrasound was performed in 1998–1999. Vascular disease was assessed by the carotid intima media thickness (CIMT), the presence of atherosclerotic plaque in the carotid, and by the number of segments containing plaque (plaque score). Results 2402 participants (mean age 55.3 years, 63.1% female, mean body mass index 31.0 kg/m2, diabetes 45.7%, hypertension 34.2%) had a median (interquintile range) urine arsenic concentration of 9.2 (5.00, 17.06) µg/g creatinine. The mean CIMT was 0.75 mm. 64.7% had carotid artery plaque (3% with >50% stenosis). In fully adjusted models comparing participants in the 80th vs. 20th percentile in arsenic concentrations, the mean difference in CIMT was 0.01 (95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.00, 0.02) mm, the relative risk of plaque presence was 1.04 (95%CI: 0.99, 1.09), and the geometric mean ratio of plaque score was 1.05 (95%CI: 1.01, 1.09). Conclusions Urine arsenic was positively associated with CIMT and increased plaque score later in life although the association was small. The relationship between urinary arsenic and the presence of plaque was not statistically significant when adjusted for other risk factors. Arsenic exposure may play a role in increasing the severity of carotid vascular disease.Clinical decision tool for CRT-P vs. CRT-D implantation: Findings from PROSE-ICD
AbstractNauffal, V., Zhang, Y., Tanawuttiwat, T., Blasco-Colmenares, E., Rickard, J., Marine, J. E., Butcher, B., Norgard, S., Dickfeld, T. M., Ellenbogen, K. A., Guallar, E., Tomaselli, G. F., & Cheng, A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
PloS oneVolume
12Issue
4AbstractBackground: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) devices reduce mortality through pacing-induced cardiac resynchronization and implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy for ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Whether certain factors can predict if patients will benefit more from implantation of CRT pacemakers (CRT-P) or CRT defibrillators (CRT-D) remains unclear. Methods and results: We followed 305 primary prevention CRT-D recipients for the two primary outcomes of HF hospitalization and ICD therapy for VAs. Serum biomarkers, electrocardiographic and clinical variables were collected prior to implant. Multivariable analysis using Cox-proportional hazards model was used to fit the final models. Among 282 patients with follow-up outcome data, 75 (26.6%) were hospitalized for HF and 31 (11%) received appropriate ICD therapy. Independent predictors of HF hospitalization were atrial fibrillation (HR = 1.8 (1.1,2.9)), NYHA class III/IV (HR = 2.2 (1.3,3.6)), ejection fraction <20% (HR = 1.7 (1.1,2.7)), HS-IL6 >4.03pg/ml (HR = 1.7 (1.1,2.9)) and hemoglobin (<12g/dl) (HR = 2.2 (1.3,3.6)). Independent predictors of appropriate therapy included BUN >20mg/dL (HR = 3.0 (1.3,7.1)), HS-CRP >9.42mg/L (HR = 2.3 (1.1,4.7)), no beta blocker therapy (HR = 3.2 (1.4,7.1)) and hematocrit ≥38% (HR = 2.7 (1.03,7.0)). Patients with 0-1 risk factors for appropriate therapy (IR 1 per 100 person-years) and ≥3 risk factors for HF hospitalization (IR 23 per 100-person-years) were more likely to die prior to receiving an appropriate ICD therapy. Conclusions: Clinical and biomarker data can risk stratify CRT patients for HF progression and VAs. These findings may help characterize subgroups of patients that may benefit more from the use of CRT-P vs. CRT-D systems.Declining exposures to lead and cadmium contribute to explaining the reduction of cardiovascular mortality in the US population, 1988-2004
AbstractRuiz-Hernandez, A., Navas-Acien, A., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Crainiceanu, C. M., Redon, J., Guallar, E., & Tellez-Plaza, M. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
International Journal of EpidemiologyVolume
46Issue
6Page(s)
1903-1912AbstractBackground: Lead and cadmium exposures have markedly declined in the USA following the implementation of large-scale public health policies and could have contributed to the unexplained decline in cardiovascular mortality in US adults. We evaluated the potential contribution of lead and cadmium exposure reductions to explain decreasing cardiovascular mortality trends occurring in the USA from 1988-94 to 1999-2004. Methods: Prospective study in 15 421 adults ≥40 years old who had participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1988-94 or 1999-2004. We estimated the amount of change in cardiovascular mortality over time that can be independently attributed to the intermediate pathway of changes in blood lead and urine cadmium concentrations. Results: There was a 42.0% decrease in blood lead and a 31.0% decrease in urine cadmium concentrations. The cardiovascular mortality rate ratio [95% confidence intervals (CIs)] associated with a doubling of metal levels was 1.19 (1.07, 1.31) for blood lead and 1.20 (1.09, 1.32) for urine cadmium. The absolute reduction in cardiovascular deaths comparing 1999-2004 to 1988-94 was 230.7 deaths/100 000 person-years, in models adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Among these avoided deaths, 52.0 (95% CI 8.4, 96.7) and 19.4 (4.3, 36.4) deaths/100 000 person-years were attributable to changes in lead and cadmium, respectively. Conclusions: Environmental declines in lead and cadmium exposures were associated with reductions in cardiovascular mortality in US adults. Given the fact that lead and cadmium remain associated with cardiovascular disease at relatively low levels of exposure, prevention strategies that further minimize exposure to lead and cadmium may be needed.Development of chronic kidney disease in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A cohort study
AbstractSinn, D. H., Kang, D., Jang, H. R., Gu, S., Cho, S. J., Paik, S. W., Ryu, S., Chang, Y., Lazo, M., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Gwak, G. Y. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Journal of HepatologyVolume
67Issue
6Page(s)
1274-1280AbstractBackground & Aims Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but cohort studies are limited. We investigated the longitudinal association of NAFLD and its severity with the development of CKD. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of 41,430 adult men and women (average age, 48.9 y) without CKD at baseline who underwent repeated health check-up examinations from January 1, 2003, through December 31, 2013. NAFLD status was assessed by ultrasonography, and NAFLD severity was assessed by the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Results The outcome was an incident CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. During 200,790 person-years of follow-up (median follow-up of 4.15 years), we identified 691 incident CKD cases. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for CKD comparing participants with and without NAFLD was 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–1.43). The risk of CKD increased progressively with increased NAFLD severity. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for CKD comparing participants with NFS <−1.455 and those with NFS ≥−1.455 to participants without NAFLD were 1.09 (95% CI 0.91–1.32) and 1.58 (95% CI 1.30–1.92), respectively. The association was consistent across clinically relevant subgroups. Conclusion In a large cohort of adult men and women without CKD, NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of CKD development. NAFLD may adversely affect renal function and patients may need to be carefully monitored for an increased risk of CKD. Lay summary The presence of fatty liver is associated with the future decline of renal function. Thus, fatty liver patients need to be monitored regularly for renal function.Diabetes mellitus and the incidence of hearing loss: A cohort study
AbstractKim, M. B., Zhang, Y., Chang, Y., Ryu, S., Choi, Y., Kwon, M. J., Moon, I. J., Deal, J. A., Lin, F. R., Guallar, E., Chung, E. C., Hong, S. H., Ban, J. H., Shin, H., & Cho, J. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
International Journal of EpidemiologyVolume
46Issue
2Page(s)
717-726AbstractBackground: To evaluate the association between diabetes mellitus (DM) and the development of incident hearing loss. Methods: Prospective cohort study was performed in 253 301 adults with normal hearing tests who participated in a regular health-screening exam between 2002 and 2014. The main exposure was the presence of DM at baseline, defined as a fasting serum glucose 126 mg/dL, a self-reported history of DM or current use of anti-diabetic medications. Pre-diabetes was defined as a fasting glucose 100–125 mg/dL and no history of DM or anti-diabetic medication use. Incident hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average of thresholds at 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 kHz > 25 dB in both right and left ears. Results: During 1 285 704 person-years of follow-up (median follow-up of four years), 2817 participants developed incident hearing loss. The rate of hearing loss in participants with normal glucose levels, pre-diabetes and DM were 1.8, 3.1 and 9.2 per 1000 person-years, respectively (P < 0.001). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for incident hearing loss for participants with pre-diabetes and DM compared with those with normal glucose levels were 1.04 (95% confidence interval 0.95–1.14) and 1.36 (1.19–1.56), respectively. In spline regression analyses, the risk of incident hearing loss increased progressively with HbA1c levels above 5%. Conclusions: In this large cohort study of young and middle-aged men and women, DM was associated with the development of bilateral hearing loss. DM patients have a moderately increased risk of future hearing loss.Exposure to ambient air pollution and calcification of the mitral annulus and aortic valve: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)
AbstractTibuakuu, M., Jones, M. R., Navas-Acien, A., Zhao, D., Guallar, E., Gassett, A. J., Sheppard, L., Budoff, M. J., Kaufman, J. D., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Environmental Health: A Global Access Science SourceVolume
16Issue
1AbstractBackground: Long-term exposure to high ambient air pollution has been associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC), a marker of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Calcifications of left-sided heart valves are also markers of CVD risk. We investigated whether air pollution was associated with valvular calcification and its progression. Methods: We studied 6253 MESA participants aged 45-84 years who underwent two cardiac CT scans 2.5 years apart to quantify aortic valve calcium (AVC) and mitral annular calcium (MAC). CAC was included for the same timeframe for comparison with AVC/MAC. Ambient particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM2.5) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) concentrations were predicted from residence-specific spatio-temporal models. Results: The mean age (SD) of the study sample was 62 (10) years, 39% were white, 27% black, 22% Hispanic, and 12% Chinese. The prevalence of AVC and MAC at baseline were 13% and 9% respectively, compared to 50% prevalence of CAC. The adjusted prevalence ratios of AVC and MAC for each 5 μg/m3 higher PM2.5 was 1.19 (95% CI 0.87, 1.62) and 1.20 (0.81, 1.77) respectively, and for CAC was 1.14 (1.01, 1.27). Over 2.5 years, the mean change in Agatston units/year for each 5 μg/m3 higher PM2.5 concentration was 0.29 (-5.05, 5.63) for AVC and 4.38 (-9.13, 17.88) for MAC, compared to 8.66 (0.61, 16.71) for CAC. We found no significant associations of NOx with AVC and MAC. Conclusion: Our findings suggest a trend towards increased 2.5-year progression of MAC with exposure to outdoor PM2.5, although this association could not be confirmed. Additional well-powered studies with longer periods of follow-up are needed to further study associations of air pollution with valvular calcium. Trial registration: Although MESA is not a clinical trial, this cohort is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00005487; Date of registration May 25, 2000.Frailty and subclinical coronary atherosclerosis: The Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS)
AbstractKorada, S. K. C., Zhao, D., Tibuakuu, M., Brown, T. T., Jacobson, L. P., Guallar, E., Bolan, R. K., Palella, F. J., Margolick, J. B., Martinson, J. J., Budoff, M. J., Post, W. S., & Michos, E. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
AtherosclerosisVolume
266Page(s)
240-247AbstractBackground and aims Frailty and cardiovascular disease share many risk factors. We evaluated whether frailty is independently associated with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and whether any relationships differ by HIV-serostatus. Methods We studied 976 [62% HIV-infected] male participants of the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study who underwent assessment of frailty and non-contrast cardiac CT scanning; of these, 747 men also underwent coronary CT angiography (CCTA). Frailty was defined as having ≥3 of 5 of the following: weakness, slowness, weight loss, exhaustion, and low physical activity. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) was assessed by non-contrast CT, and total plaque score (TPS), mixed plaque score (MPS), and non-calcified plaque score (NCPS) by CCTA. Multivariable-adjusted regression was used to assess the cross-sectional associations between frailty and subclinical coronary atherosclerosis. Results Mean (SD) age of participants was 54 (7) years; 31% were black. Frailty existed in 7.5% and 14.3% of HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected men, respectively. After adjustment for demographics, frailty was significantly associated with prevalence of any CAC (CAC>0), any plaque (TPS>0), and mixed plaque (MPS>0) in HIV-uninfected but not in HIV-infected men (p-interactionHIV<0.05 for all). Among HIV-uninfected men, after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, frailty was significantly associated only with CAC>0 [Prevalence Ratio 1.27 (95%CI 1.02, 1.59)] and TPS>0 [1.19 (1.06, 1.35)]. No association was found for NCPS. Conclusions Frailty was independently associated with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis among HIV-uninfected men, but not among HIV-infected men. Further work is needed to ascertain mechanisms underlying these differences and whether interventions that improve frailty (i.e. strength training) can improve cardiovascular outcomes.Frequency of arrhythmia symptoms and acceptability of implantable cardiac monitors in Hemodialysis patients
AbstractEl Hage, N., Jaar, B. G., Cheng, A., Knight, C., Blasco-Colmenares, E., Gimenez, L., Guallar, E., & Shafi, T. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
BMC NephrologyVolume
18Issue
1AbstractBackground: Arrhythmia-related complications and sudden death are common in dialysis patients. However, routine cardiac monitoring has so far not been feasible. Miniaturization of implantable cardiac monitors offers a new paradigm for detection and management of arrhythmias in dialysis patients. The goal of our study was to determine the frequency of arrhythmia-related symptoms in hemodialysis patients and to assess their willingness to undergo implantation of a cardiac monitor. Methods: We conducted a survey of in-center hemodialysis patients at a hemodialysis clinic in Baltimore, Maryland. We assessed the frequency of arrhythmia-related symptoms and willingness to undergo placement of an implantable cardiac monitor (LINQ, Medtronic Inc.). Results: Forty six patients completed the survey. The mean age of the survey respondents was 59 years and 65% were male. Symptoms were common with 74% (n = 34) of participants reporting at least one arrhythmia-related symptom and many [22% (n = 10)] had all 3 symptoms. Among the patients with symptoms, 57% (n = 26) reported "heart skipping beats, flopping in chest or beating very hard," 61% (n = 28) reported "heart racing (palpitations)," and 37% (n = 17) reported feeling that they "passed out or almost passed out." The majority of the patients felt that the timing of the symptoms was unrelated to dialysis treatments. The acceptability of the monitoring device implantation was high, with 59% (n = 20) of patients with symptoms and 50% (n = 6) of patients without symptoms willing to consider it. The main reason for not considering the device was not wanting to have an implanted device. Conclusion: The prevalence of arrhythmia-related symptoms is high in hemodialysis patients and the majority would consider an implantable cardiac monitor if recommended by their physicians. Routine implantation of cardiac monitoring devices to manage arrhythmias in dialysis patients may be feasible and will provide further insights on the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in dialysis patients.Functional status and mortality prediction in community-acquired pneumonia
AbstractJeon, K., Yoo, H., Jeong, B. H., Park, H. Y., Koh, W. J., Suh, G. Y., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
RespirologyVolume
22Issue
7Page(s)
1400-1406AbstractBackground and objective: Poor functional status (FS) has been suggested as a poor prognostic factor in both pneumonia and severe pneumonia in elderly patients. However, it is still unclear whether FS is associated with outcomes and improves survival prediction in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the general population. Methods: Data on hospitalized patients with CAP and FS, assessed by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) scale were prospectively collected between January 2008 and December 2012. The independent association of FS with 30-day mortality in CAP patients was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. Improvement in mortality prediction when FS was added to the CRB-65 (confusion, respiratory rate, blood pressure and age 65) score was evaluated for discrimination, reclassification and calibration. Results: The 30-day mortality of study participants (n = 1526) was 10%. Mortality significantly increased with higher ECOG score (P for trend <0.001). In multivariable analysis, ECOG ≥3 was strongly associated with 30-day mortality (adjusted OR: 5.70; 95% CI: 3.82–8.50). Adding ECOG ≥3 significantly improved the discriminatory power of CRB-65. Reclassification indices also confirmed the improvement in discrimination ability when FS was combined with the CRB-65, with a categorized net reclassification index (NRI) of 0.561 (0.437–0.686), a continuous NRI of 0.858 (0.696–1.019) and a relative integrated discrimination improvement in the discrimination slope of 139.8 % (110.8–154.6). Conclusion: FS predicted 30-day mortality and improved discrimination and reclassification in consecutive CAP patients. Assessment of premorbid FS should be considered in mortality prediction in patients with CAP.Hepatitis B and C virus infection and diabetes mellitus: A cohort study
AbstractHong, Y. S., Chang, Y., Ryu, S., Cainzos-Achirica, M., Kwon, M. J., Zhang, Y., Choi, Y., Ahn, J., Rampal, S., Zhao, D., Pastor-Barriuso, R., Lazo, M., Shin, H., Cho, J., & Guallar, E. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Scientific reportsVolume
7Issue
1AbstractThe role of hepatitis virus infection in glucose homeostasis is uncertain. We examined the associations between hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and the development of diabetes in a cohort (N = 439,708) of asymptomatic participants in health screening examinations. In cross-sectional analyses, the multivariable-Adjusted odds ratio for prevalent diabetes comparing hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) (+) to HBsAg (-) participants was 1.17 (95% CI 1.06-1.31; P = 0.003). The corresponding odds ratio comparing hepatitis C antibodies (HCV Ab) (+) to HCV Ab (-) participants was 1.43 (95% CI 1.01-2.02, P = 0.043). In prospective analyses, the multivariable-Adjusted hazard ratio for incident diabetes comparing HBsAg (+) to HbsAg (-) participants was 1.23 (95% CI 1.08-1.41; P = 0.007). The number of incident cases of diabetes among HCV Ab (+) participants (10 cases) was too small to reliably estimate the prospective association between HCV infection and diabetes. In this large population at low risk of diabetes, HBV and HCV infections were associated with diabetes prevalence and HBV infection with the risk of incident diabetes. Our studies add evidence suggesting that diabetes is an additional metabolic complication of HBV and HCV infection.Improving consensus scoring of crowdsourced data using the rasch model: Development and refinement of a diagnostic instrument
AbstractBrady, C. J., Mudie, L. I., Wang, X., Guallar, E., & Friedman, D. S. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Journal of medical Internet researchVolume
19Issue
6AbstractBackground: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a leading cause of vision loss in working age individuals worldwide. While screening is effective and cost effective, it remains underutilized, and novel methods are needed to increase detection of DR. This clinical validation study compared diagnostic gradings of retinal fundus photographs provided by volunteers on the Amazon Mechanical Turk (AMT) crowdsourcing marketplace with expert-provided gold-standard grading and explored whether determination of the consensus of crowdsourced classifications could be improved beyond a simple majority vote (MV) using regression methods. Objective: The aim of our study was to determine whether regression methods could be used to improve the consensus grading of data collected by crowdsourcing. Methods: A total of 1200 retinal images of individuals with diabetes mellitus from the Messidor public dataset were posted to AMT. Eligible crowdsourcing workers had at least 500 previously approved tasks with an approval rating of 99% across their prior submitted work. A total of 10 workers were recruited to classify each image as normal or abnormal. If half or more workers judged the image to be abnormal, the MV consensus grade was recorded as abnormal. Rasch analysis was then used to calculate worker ability scores in a random 50% training set, which were then used as weights in a regression model in the remaining 50% test set to determine if a more accurate consensus could be devised. Outcomes of interest were the percent correctly classified images, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for the consensus grade as compared with the expert grading provided with the dataset. Results: Using MV grading, the consensus was correct in 75.5% of images (906/1200), with 75.5% sensitivity, 75.5% specificity, and an AUROC of 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.78). A logistic regression model using Rasch-weighted individual scores generated an AUROC of 0.91 (95% CI 0.88-0.93) compared with 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-92) for a model using unweighted scores (chi-square P value<.001). Setting a diagnostic cut-point to optimize sensitivity at 90%, 77.5% (465/600) were graded correctly, with 90.3% sensitivity, 68.5% specificity, and an AUROC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.76-0.83). Conclusions: Crowdsourced interpretations of retinal images provide rapid and accurate results as compared with a gold-standard grading. Creating a logistic regression model using Rasch analysis to weight crowdsourced classifications by worker ability improves accuracy of aggregated grades as compared with simple majority vote.Intracranial atherosclerosis and dementia
AbstractDearborn, J. L., Zhang, Y., Qiao, Y., Suri, M. F. K., Liu, L., Gottesman, R. F., Rawlings, A. M., Mosley, T. H., Alonso, A., Knopman, D. S., Guallar, E., & Wasserman, B. A. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
NeurologyVolume
88Issue
16Page(s)
1556-1563AbstractObjective: To explore the association of intracranial atherosclerotic disease (ICAD) with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. Methods: From 2011 to 2013, 1,744 participants completed high-resolution vessel wall MRI from the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study by a sampling strategy that allowed weighting back to the cohort. We defined ICAD by plaque features (presence, territory, stenosis, number). Trained clinicians used an algorithm incorporating information from interviews and neuropsychological and neurologic examinations to adjudicate for MCI and dementia. We determined the relative prevalence ratio (RPR) of MCI or dementia after adjusting for risk factors at midlife using multinomial logistic regression. Results: A total of 601 (34.5%) participants had MCI (mean age ± SD, 76.6 ± 5.2 years), 83 (4.8%) had dementia (79.1 ± 5.3 years), and 857 (49.1%) were current or former smokers. Anterior cerebral artery (ACA) plaque (adjusted RPR 3.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.57-9.23), >2 territories with plaque (adjusted RPR 2.12, 95% CI 1.00-4.49), and presence of stenosis >50% (adjusted RPR 1.92, 95% CI 1.01-3.65) were associated with increased prevalence of dementia in separate models. Posterior cerebral artery plaque was associated with MCI but did not reach statistical significance for dementia (adjusted RPR MCI 1.43, 95% CI 1.04-1.98; adjusted RPR dementia 1.58, 95% CI 0.79-2.85). There were no associations with middle cerebral artery atherosclerotic lesions or cognitive impairment. Many participants had plaque in >1 territory (n = 291, 46%) and participants with ACA plaques (n = 69) had the greatest number of plaques in other territories (mean 6.0, SD 4.4). Conclusions: This study demonstrates associations between ICAD and clinical MCI and dementia.Low-moderate urine arsenic and biomarkers of thrombosis and inflammation in the Strong Heart Study
AbstractMoon, K. A., Navas-Acien, A., Grau-Pérez, M., Francesconi, K. A., Goessler, W., Guallar, E., Umans, J. G., Best, L. G., & Newman, J. D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
PloS oneVolume
12Issue
8AbstractThe underlying pathology of arsenic-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) is unknown. Few studies have evaluated pathways through thrombosis and inflammation for arsenic-related CVD, especially at low-moderate arsenic exposure levels (<100 μg/L in drinking water). We evaluated the association of chronic low-moderate arsenic exposure, measured as the sum of inorganic and methylated arsenic species in urine (ΣAs), with plasma biomarkers of thrombosis and inflammation in American Indian adults (45–74 years) in the Strong Heart Study. We evaluated the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between baseline ΣAs with fibrinogen at three visits (baseline, 1989–91; Visit 2, 1993–95, Visit 3, 1998–99) using mixed models and the associations between baseline ΣAs and Visit 2 plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) and high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) using linear regression. Median (interquartile range) concentrations of baseline ΣAs and fibrinogen, and Visit 2 hsCRP and PAI-1 were 8.4 (5.1, 14.3) μg/g creatinine, 346 (304, 393) mg/dL, 44 (30, 67) mg/L, and 3.8 (2.0, 7.0) ng/mL, respectively. Comparing the difference between the 75th and the 25th percentile of ΣAs (14.3 vs. 5.1 μg/g creatinine), ΣAs was positively associated with baseline fibrinogen among those with diabetes (adjusted geometric mean ratio (GMR): 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.07) not associated among those without diabetes (GMR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.02) (p-interaction for diabetes = 0.014), inversely associated with PAI-1 (GMR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.99), and not associated with hsCRP (GMR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.93, 1.08). We found no evidence for an association between baseline ΣAs and annual change in fibrinogen over follow-up (p-interaction = 0.28 and 0.12 for diabetes and non-diabetes, respectively). Low-moderate arsenic exposure was positively associated with baseline fibrinogen in participants with diabetes and unexpectedly inversely associated with PAI-1. Further research should evaluate the role of prothrombotic factors in arsenic-related cardiovascular disease.Moderate coffee intake can be part of a healthy diet
Guallar, E., Blasco-Colmenares, E., Arking, D. E., & Zhao, D. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
Annals of internal medicineVolume
167Issue
4Page(s)
283-284Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and progression of coronary artery calcium score: A retrospective cohort study
AbstractSinn, D. H., Kang, D., Chang, Y., Ryu, S., Gu, S., Kim, H., Seong, D., Cho, S. J., Yi, B. K., Park, H. D., Paik, S. W., Song, Y. B., Lazo, M., Lima, J. A., Guallar, E., Cho, J., & Gwak, G. Y. (n.d.).Publication year
2017Journal title
GutVolume
66Issue
2Page(s)
323-329AbstractBackground and aim Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a hepatic manifestation of the metabolic syndrome, was associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in many cross-sectional studies, but the prospective association between NAFLD and the progression of atherosclerosis has not been evaluated. This study was conducted to evaluate the association between NAFLD and the progression of coronary atherosclerosis. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 4731 adult men and women with no history of cardiovascular disease (CVD), liver disease or cancer at baseline who participated in a repeated regular health screening examination between 2004 and 2013. Fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasound based on standard criteria, including parenchymal brightness, liver-to-kidney contrast, deep beam attenuation and bright vessel walls. Progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores was measured using multidetector CT scanners. Results The average duration of follow-up was 3.9 years. During follow-up, the annual rate of CAC progression in participants with and without NAFLD were 22% (95% CI 20% to 23%) and 17% (16% to 18%), respectively ( p<0.001). The multivariable ratio of progression rates comparing participants with NAFLD with those without NAFLD was 1.04 (1.02 to 1.05; p<0.001). The association between NAFLD and CAC progression was similar in most subgroups analysed, including in participants with CAC 0 and in those with CAC >0 at baseline. Conclusions In this large cohort study of adult men and women with no history of CVD, NAFLD was significantly associated with the development of CAC independent of cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors. NAFLD may play a pathophysiological role in atherosclerosis development and may be useful to identify subjects with a higher risk of subclinical disease progression.