Rebecca A Betensky

Rebecca Betensky
Rebecca Betensky
Scroll

Chair of the Department of Biostatistics

Professor of Biostatistics

Professional overview

Prior to NYU, Dr. Betensky was Professor of Biostatistics at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. She was director of the Harvard Catalyst (Clinical and Translational Science Award) Biostatistics Program; director of the Data and Statistics Core for the Massachusetts Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center; and director of the Biostatistics Neurology Core at Massachusetts General Hospital. Previously, she was the Biostatistics Program Leader for the Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center.

Dr. Betensky’s research focuses on methods for the analysis of censored and truncated outcomes and covariates, which frequently arise from the subsampling of cohort studies. She has a long-time interest in clinical trials, and has written on the evaluation of biomarkers and the use and interpretation of p-values. She has collaborated extensively in studies in neurologic diseases, and serves as statistical editor for Annals of Neurology.

Dr. Betensky was awarded, and directed for 15 years, an NIH T32 training program in neurostatistics and neuroepidemiology for pre- and post-doctoral students in biostatistics and epidemiology and for clinician-scientists. She previously directed Harvard’s Biostatistics programs to promote and support diversity at all levels in the field of quantitative public health. She was also a member of the BMRD Study Section for review of NIH statistical methodology grants; on committees for the Institute of Medicine; and a co-chair of the technical advisory committee for the scientific registry of transplant recipients.

Dr. Betensky an elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association and of the International Statistical Institute, and is a past recipient of the Spiegelman Award from the American Public Health Association. She currently serves as a member of the Board of Scientific Counselors for Clinical Science and Epidemiology at the National Cancer Institute.

Education

AB, Mathematics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA
PhD, Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA

Areas of research and study

Biology
Biostatistics
Neuroepidemiology
Neurology
Neurostatistics
Translational science

Publications

Publications

A Pairwise Naïve Bayes Approach to Bayesian Classification

Asafu-Adjei, J. K., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

International Journal of Pattern Recognition and Artificial Intelligence

Volume

29

Issue

7
Abstract
Abstract
Despite the relatively high accuracy of the naïve Bayes (NB) classifier, there may be several instances where it is not optimal, i.e. does not have the same classification performance as the Bayes classifier utilizing the joint distribution of the examined attributes. However, the Bayes classifier can be computationally intractable due to its required knowledge of the joint distribution. Therefore, we introduce a "pairwise naïve" Bayes (PNB) classifier that incorporates all pairwise relationships among the examined attributes, but does not require specification of the joint distribution. In this paper, we first describe the necessary and sufficient conditions under which the PNB classifier is optimal. We then discuss sufficient conditions for which the PNB classifier, and not NB, is optimal for normal attributes. Through simulation and actual studies, we evaluate the performance of our proposed classifier relative to the Bayes and NB classifiers, along with the HNB, AODE, LBR and TAN classifiers, using normal density and empirical estimation methods. Our applications show that the PNB classifier using normal density estimation yields the highest accuracy for data sets containing continuous attributes. We conclude that it offers a useful compromise between the Bayes and NB classifiers.

Accuracy of digital versus conventional implant impressions

Lee, S. J., Betensky, R. A., Gianneschi, G. E., & Gallucci, G. O. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Clinical Oral Implants Research

Volume

26

Issue

6

Page(s)

715-719
Abstract
Abstract
Objective: The accuracy of digital impressions greatly influences their clinical viability in implant restorations. The aim of this study was to compare the accuracy of gypsum models acquired from the conventional implant impression to digitally milled models created from direct digitalization by three-dimensional analysis. Materials and Methods: Thirty gypsum and 30 digitally milled models, impressed directly from a reference model, were prepared. The models and reference model were scanned by a laboratory scanner, and 30 surface tessellation language datasets from each group were imported to an inspection software program. The datasets were aligned to the reference dataset by a repeated best-fit algorithm, and 10 specified contact locations of interest were measured in mean volumetric deviations. The areas were pooled by cusps, fossae, interproximal contacts, horizontal and vertical axes of implant position and angulation. The pooled areas were statistically analysed by comparing each group to the reference model to investigate the mean volumetric deviations accounting for accuracy and standard deviations for precision. Results: Milled models from digital impressions had comparable accuracy to gypsum models from conventional impressions. However, differences in fossae and vertical displacement of the implant position from the gypsum and digitally milled models compared to the reference model exhibited statistical significance (P < 0.001, P = 0.020, respectively). Conclusion: Milled models from digital impression are comparable to gypsum models from conventional impression.

APOEε2 is associated with milder clinical and pathological Alzheimer disease

Serrano-Pozo, A., Qian, J., Monsell, S. E., Betensky, R. A., & Hyman, B. T. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Annals of Neurology

Volume

77

Issue

6

Page(s)

917-929
Abstract
Abstract
Objective The Alzheimer disease (AD) APOE 4 risk allele associates with an earlier age at onset and increased amyloid-β deposition, whereas the protective APOE 2 allele delays the onset and appears to prevent amyloid-β deposition. Yet the clinical and pathological effects of APOE 2 remain uncertain because of its relative rarity. We investigated the effects of APOE 2 and 4 alleles on AD pathology and cognition in a large US data set of well-characterized AD patients. Methods We studied individuals from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center autopsy cohort across the entire clinicopathological continuum of AD. Multivariate models were built to examine the associations between APOE alleles and AD neuropathological changes, using the APOE 3/ 3 group as comparator. Mediation analysis was used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of APOE alleles on AD pathology and cognition (Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes and Mini-Mental State Examination). Results Compared to APOE 3/ 3, APOE 2 is independently associated with lower Braak neurofibrillary tangle (NFT) stages and possibly fewer neuritic plaques, but has no direct effect on cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) severity, whereas APOE 4 is associated with more neuritic plaques and CAA, but has no independent effect on Braak NFT stage. Unadjusted analyses showed marked differences among APOE genotypes with respect to cognitive performance ( 2 > 3 > 4). Mediation analysis suggests that this is largely explained through effects on pathology. Interpretation Even when adjusted for age at onset, symptom duration, and other demographic variables, APOE 2 is associated with milder AD pathology and less severe antemortem cognitive impairment compared to APOE 3 and 4 alleles, suggesting a relative neuroprotective effect of APOE 2 in AD.

Clinical pertinence metric enables hypothesis-independent genome-phenome analysis for neurologic diagnosis

Segal, M. M., Abdellateef, M., El-Hattab, A. W., Hilbush, B. S., De La Vega, F. M., Tromp, G., Williams, M. S., Betensky, R. A., & Gleeson, J. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Journal of Child Neurology

Volume

30

Issue

7

Page(s)

881-888
Abstract
Abstract
We describe an "integrated genome-phenome analysis" that combines both genomic sequence data and clinical information for genomic diagnosis. It is novel in that it uses robust diagnostic decision support and combines the clinical differential diagnosis and the genomic variants using a "pertinence" metric. This allows the analysis to be hypothesis-independent, not requiring assumptions about mode of inheritance, number of genes involved, or which clinical findings are most relevant. Using 20 genomic trios with neurologic disease, we find that pertinence scores averaging 99.9% identify the causative variant under conditions in which a genomic trio is analyzed and family-aware variant calling is done. The analysis takes seconds, and pertinence scores can be improved by clinicians adding more findings. The core conclusion is that automated genome-phenome analysis can be accurate, rapid, and efficient. We also conclude that an automated process offers a methodology for quality improvement of many components of genomic analysis.

Computationally simple analysis of matched, outcome-based studies of ordinal disease states

Betensky, R. A., Szymonifka, J., Lee, E. Q., Nutt, C. L., & Batchelor, T. T. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Statistics in Medicine

Volume

34

Issue

17

Page(s)

2514-2527
Abstract
Abstract
Outcome-based sampling is an efficient study design for rare conditions, such as glioblastoma. It is often used in conjunction with matching, for increased efficiency and to potentially avoid bias due to confounding. A study was conducted at the Massachusetts General Hospital that involved retrospective sampling of glioblastoma patients with respect to multiple-ordered disease states, as defined by three categories of overall survival time. To analyze such studies, we posit an adjacent categories logit model and exploit its allowance for prospective analysis of a retrospectively sampled study and its advantageous removal of set and level specific nuisance parameters through conditioning on sufficient statistics. This framework allows for any sampling design and is not limited to one level of disease within each set, such as in previous publications. We describe how this ordinal conditional model can be fit using standard conditional logistic regression procedures. We consider an alternative pseudo-likelihood approach that potentially offers robustness under partial model misspecification at the expense of slight loss of efficiency under correct model specification for small sample sizes. We apply our methods to the Massachusetts General Hospital glioblastoma study.

Matrix metalloproteinase 9-mediated intracerebral hemorrhage induced by cerebral amyloid angiopathy

Zhao, L., Arbel-Ornath, M., Wang, X., Betensky, R. A., Greenberg, S. M., Frosch, M. P., & Bacskai, B. J. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Neurobiology of Aging

Volume

36

Issue

11

Page(s)

2963-2971
Abstract
Abstract
Cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA), the deposition of amyloid-β in cerebrovascular walls, is the most common cause of lobar hemorrhagic stroke. Previous studies show that cerebrovascular amyloid-β induces expression and activation of matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP-9) in cerebral vessels of amyloid precursor protein transgenic mice. Here, we extended these findings and evaluated MMP-9 expression in postmortem brain tissues of human CAA cases. MMP-9 colocalized with CAA, correlated with the severity of the vascular pathology, and was detected in proximity to microbleeds. We characterized a novel assay using longitudinal multiphoton microscopy and a novel tracer to visualize and quantify the magnitude and kinetics of hemorrhages in three dimensions in living mouse brains. We demonstrated that topical application of recombinant MMP-9 resulted in a time- and dose-dependent cerebral hemorrhage. Amyloid precursor protein mice with significant CAA developed more extensive hemorrhages which also appeared sooner after exposure to MMP-9. Our data suggest an important role for MMP-9 in development of hemorrhages in the setting of CAA. Inhibition of MMP-9 may present a preventive strategy for CAA-associated hemorrhage.

Measures of follow-up in time-to-event studies: Why provide them and what should they be?

Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Clinical Trials

Volume

12

Issue

4

Page(s)

403-408
Abstract
Abstract
Background/Aims: There is some consensus among authors of reports of clinical studies that a measure of follow-up time is informative for the interpretation of the Kaplan-Meier estimate of the survivor function of the event time of interest. Previous authors have suggested that length of follow-up is important to report because the findings of a study should be extracted from the time frame in which most of the subjects have had the event or have remained under observation. This time frame is where the Kaplan-Meier estimate is most stable. This concept of stability is relative to the potential maximum information about the event time distribution contained in the sample; it is not relative to the true, population survivor function. A measure of stability is useful for the interpretation of an interim analysis in which an immature survivor function is presented. Our interest in this article lies in characterizing the unobserved, complete follow-up Kaplan-Meier estimate based on the observed, partial follow-up estimate. Our focus is not on characterizing the true event time distribution relative to its estimate. The concept of stability has not been well-defined in the literature, which has led to inconsistency and lack of transparency across trials in their attempts to capture it through a variety of measures of follow-up. Methods: We report the results of a survey of recent literature on cancer clinical trials and summarize whether follow-up is reported and if so, whether it is well-defined. We define commonly used measures of follow-up in clinical studies. Results: We explain how each measure should be assessed to evaluate the stability of the Kaplan-Meier estimate for the event, and we identify relationships among measures. We propose a new measure that better conveys the desired information about the stability of the current Kaplan-Meier estimate relative to one based on complete follow-up. We apply the proposed measure to a meningioma study for illustration. Conclusion: It is useful for reports of clinical studies to supplement Kaplan-Meier estimates with quantitative assessments of the stability of those estimates relative to the potential follow-up of study participants. We justify the use of one commonly used measure, and we propose a new measure that most directly accomplishes this goal.

Phase 2 study of bosutinib, a Src inhibitor, in adults with recurrent glioblastoma

Taylor, J. W., Dietrich, J., Gerstner, E. R., Norden, A. D., Rinne, M. L., Cahill, D. P., Stemmer-Rachamimov, A., Wen, P. Y., Betensky, R. A., Giorgio, D. H., Snodgrass, K., Randall, A. E., Batchelor, T. T., & Chi, A. S. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Journal of Neuro-Oncology

Volume

121

Issue

3

Page(s)

557-563
Abstract
Abstract
Tumor cell infiltration is a major mechanism of treatment escape in glioblastoma. Src is an intracellular tyrosine kinase that mediates tumor cell motility and invasiveness. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of bosutinib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor that potently inhibits Src and Abl, in patients with recurrent glioblastoma. In this two-arm study, patients with histologically confirmed recurrent glioblastoma and ≤2 relapses, not previously treated with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy, were administered oral bosutinib 400 mg daily. Arm A planned for 6 patients who were candidates for surgical resection to be given bosutinib for 7–9 days prior to resection. Arm B was a two-stage design phase 2 trial targeting 30 patients. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival at 6 months (PFS6) in Arm B. After 9 patients enrolled onto stage 1 of Arm B, 9 (100 %) patients progressed within 6 months. Therefore, the study met the pre-specified criteria for early closure and both Arms were closed. In Arm B, Median PFS was 7.71 weeks and median OS was 50 weeks. Best objective response was stable disease in one patient (11.1 %). Seven patients (77.8 %) had treatment-related AEs of any grade and 2 (22.2 %) were grade ≥3. Arm A was closed after 2 patients enrolled. Src activation was evident in all archival tumor samples. Bosutinib monotherapy does not appear to be effective in recurrent glioblastoma. However, Src remains a potential target based on its upregulation in tumor samples and role in glioma invasion.

Power and sample size calculations for the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test in the presence of death-censored observations

Matsouaka, R. A., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Statistics in Medicine

Volume

34

Issue

3

Page(s)

406-431
Abstract
Abstract
We consider a clinical trial of a potentially lethal disease in which patients are randomly assigned to two treatment groups and are followed for a fixed period of time; a continuous endpoint is measured at the end of follow-up. For some patients; however, death (or severe disease progression) may preclude measurement of the endpoint. A statistical analysis that includes only patients with endpoint measurements may be biased. An alternative analysis includes all randomized patients, with rank scores assigned to the patients who are available for the endpoint measurement on the basis of the magnitude of their responses and with 'worst-rank' scores assigned to those patients whose death precluded the measurement of the continuous endpoint. The worst-rank scores are worse than all observed rank scores. The treatment effect is then evaluated using the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test. In this paper, we derive closed-form formulae for the power and sample size of the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test when missing measurements of the continuous endpoints because of death are replaced by worst-rank scores. We distinguish two approaches for assigning the worst-rank scores. In the tied worst-rank approach, all deaths are weighted equally, and the worst-rank scores are set to a single value that is worse than all measured responses. In the untied worst-rank approach, the worst-rank scores further rank patients according to their time of death, so that an earlier death is considered worse than a later death, which in turn is worse than all measured responses. In addition, we propose four methods for the implementation of the sample size formulae for a trial with expected early death. We conduct Monte Carlo simulation studies to evaluate the accuracy of our power and sample size formulae and to compare the four sample size estimation methods.

Recognizing the problem of delayed entry in time-to-event studies: Better late than never for clinical neuroscientists

Betensky, R. A., & Mandel, M. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Annals of Neurology

Volume

78

Issue

6

Page(s)

839-844
Abstract
Abstract
Editor's Note One of the greatest differences I encountered in moving from being Editor-in-Chief of a basic science journal to the same position at Annals of Neurology was the much greater importance of meticulous review of the statistical treatment of data. In basic science, the conditions of an experiment can be set up by the investigator so that relatively simple statistical treatments can often be used with clear-cut results. Comparing the treatment and outcomes of human studies is much messier. Humans have a history before the study started; they have lives that often cause them to deviate from the protocol; and it is much harder to measure the outcomes because our methods have to be so much less invasive than they can be in animal studies. In addition, unlike mice or rats, which are deliberately inbred in a laboratory to minimize variation between animals, we are a wild species with enormous genetic and environmental variability. We solved the problem of the lack of statistical sophistication of the scientific editors by bringing in an expert in study design and statistical analysis, Dr Rebecca Betensky, a Professor of Biostatistics at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, who serves as our Statistical Editor. We have weekly editorial conferences where the Associate Editors, Rebecca, and I consider which of the papers that were reviewed in the previous week should be published. Each week, it seems, we are treated to a private tutorial (sometimes more than one) on the complexities of study design and statistical analysis in the papers we are considering. I have learned a great deal at these meetings and thought that this education should be extended to our readers, and so I have prevailed upon Dr Betensky to address some recurring topics in our editorial conferences. We begin this month with the concept of delayed entry, a common problem in human studies that many investigators and reviewers fail to take into account. We have decided to publish this series under the NeuroGenesis section of the Annals, because this section is devoted to the career development of neurologists, and it seems critical to the professional judgment of every academic neurologist to assimilate the concepts in this series, both to improve our own work and to evaluate the work of other neurologists more critically. - C.B.S.

Reductions in red blood cell 2,3-diphosphoglycerate concentration during continuous renal replacment therapy

Sharma, S., Sharma, S., Brugnara, C., Betensky, R. A., & Waikar, S. S. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Clinical Journal of the American Society of Nephrology

Volume

10

Issue

1

Page(s)

74-79
Abstract
Abstract
Background and objectivesHypophosphatemia is a frequent complication during continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), a dialytic technique used to treat AKI in critically ill patients. This study sought to confirm that phosphate depletion during CRRT may decrease red blood cell (RBC) concentration of 2,3-diphosphoglycerate (2,3-DPG), a crucial allosteric effector of hemoglobin’s (Hgb’s) affinity for oxygen, thereby leading to impaired oxygen delivery to peripheral tissuesDesign, setting, participants, & measurementsPhosphate mass balance studies were performed in 20 patients with severe AKI through collection of CRRT effluent. RBC concentrations of 2,3-DPG, venous blood gas pH, and oxygen partial pressure required for 50% hemoglobin saturation (P50) were measured at CRRT initiation and days 2, 4, and 7. Similar measurements were obtained on days 0 and 2 in a reference group of 10 postsurgical patients, most of whom did not have AKI. Associations of 2,3-DPG with laboratory parameters and clinical outcomes were examined using mixed-effects and Cox regression modelsResultsMean 2,3-DPG levels decreased from a mean (±SD) of 13.4±3.4µmol/g Hgb to 11.0±3.1µmol/g Hgb after 2 days of CRRT (P<0.001). Mean hemoglobin saturation P50 levels decreased from 29.7±4.4 mmHg to 26.7±4.0 mmHg (P<0.001). No significant change was seen in the reference group. 2,3-DPG levels after 2 days of CRRT were not significantly lower than those in the reference group on day 2. Among patients receiving CRRT, 2,3-DPG decreased by 0.53µmol/g Hgb per 1 g phosphate removed (95% confidence interval 0.38 to 0.68µmol/g Hgb;P<0.001). Greater reductions in 2,3-DPG were associated with higher risk for death (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.09 to 1.88;P=0.01)ConclusionsCRRT-induced phosphate depletion is associated with measurable reductions in RBC 2,3-DPG concentration and a shift in the O2:Hgb affinity curve even in the absence of overt hypophosphatemia. 2,3-DPG reductions may be associated with higher risk for in-hospital death and represent a potentially avoidable complication of CRRT.

Research participant compensation: A matter of statistical inference as well as ethics

Swanson, D. M., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Contemporary Clinical Trials

Volume

45

Page(s)

265-269
Abstract
Abstract
The ethics of compensation of research subjects for participation in clinical trials has been debated for years. One ethical issue of concern is variation among subjects in the level of compensation for identical treatments. Surprisingly, the impact of variation on the statistical inferences made from trial results has not been examined. We seek to identify how variation in compensation may influence any existing dependent censoring in clinical trials, thereby also influencing inference about the survival curve, hazard ratio, or other measures of treatment efficacy. In simulation studies, we consider a model for how compensation structure may influence the censoring model. Under existing dependent censoring, we estimate survival curves under different compensation structures and observe how these structures induce variability in the estimates. We show through this model that if the compensation structure affects the censoring model and dependent censoring is present, then variation in that structure induces variation in the estimates and affects the accuracy of estimation and inference on treatment efficacy. From the perspectives of both ethics and statistical inference, standardization and transparency in the compensation of participants in clinical trials are warranted.

The influence of vascular risk factors and stroke on cognition in late life analysis of the NACC cohort

Viswanathan, A., Macklin, E. A., Betensky, R., Hyman, B., Smith, E. E., & Blacker, D. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Alzheimer disease and associated disorders

Volume

29

Issue

4

Page(s)

287-293
Abstract
Abstract
Objective: Vascular risk factors in mid-life predict late life cognitive decline in previously normal populations. We sought to investigate the contribution of vascular risk factors in late life to cognitive decline in a cohort of normal elderly individuals. Methods: Cognitively normal subjects were identified from the longitudinal cohort of participants in the National Alzheimer Coordinating Center (NACC) database (n=2975). The association between a composite score of vascular risk factors (based on the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile) and cognitive function was tested at baseline visit and estimated in longitudinal analyses using linear mixed-effects models. Results: Total vascular risk factor burden was associated with worse cognitive performance at baseline and faster decline longitudinally in univariate analyses but only with worse WAIS digit symbol performance in cross-sectional (estimate=-0.266 units/1 unit of Framingham Stroke Risk Profile Score; 95% confidence interval,-0.380 to-0.153; P<0.001) and longitudinal (estimate=-0.034 units/1 unit of Framingham Stroke Risk Profile Score/year; 95% confidence interval,-0.055 to-0.012; P=0.002) analyses after adjusting for age, education, and APOE genotype. Individuals with history of stroke performed significantly worse on the trails B, category fluency, and Boston naming tests in cross-sectional analyses and in delayed logical memory and digit span backwards in longitudinal analyses. Conclusions: Although the modified Framingham Stroke Risk Profile in late-life predicts rate of decline on selective neurocognitive measures in previously normal elderly individuals, age appears to be the strongest risk factor for cognitive impairment in this population. History of stroke independently influences rate of cognitive decline in these individuals.

Vandetanib plus sirolimus in adults with recurrent glioblastoma: results of a phase I and dose expansion cohort study

Chheda, M. G., Wen, P. Y., Hochberg, F. H., Chi, A. S., Drappatz, J., Eichler, A. F., Yang, D., Beroukhim, R., Norden, A. D., Gerstner, E. R., Betensky, R. A., & Batchelor, T. T. (n.d.).

Publication year

2015

Journal title

Journal of Neuro-Oncology

Volume

121

Issue

3

Page(s)

627-634
Abstract
Abstract
Targeting specific molecular alterations in glioblastoma (GBM) might more effectively kill tumor cells and increase survival. Vandetanib inhibits epidermal growth factor receptor and vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2. Sirolimus inhibits mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR), a member the phosphoinositide 3-Kinase signaling pathway. We sought to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) of vandetanib combined with sirolimus. Twenty-two patients (14 men; 8 women) with recurrent GBM enrolled. Median age and KPS were 52.5 years and 90 %, respectively. Patients were naive to anti-VEGF and anti-EGF therapy and mTOR inhibitors, and not on CYP3A4-inducing drugs. Vandetanib and sirolimus were orally administered on a continuous daily dosing schedule in escalating dose cohorts. Ten patients enrolled in the dose escalation phase. Twelve more enrolled at the MTD to explore progression-free survival at 6 months (PFS6) in a single arm, single stage phase II-type design. In total, 19 patients received at least one dose at the MTD, and 15 completed at least 1 cycle at MTD. MTD was 200 mg vandetanib plus 2 mg sirolimus. The DLT was elevated AST/SGOT. The most common toxicities were lymphopenia, fatigue, rash, and hypophosphatemia. For 19 patients who received at least one dose at the MTD, including seven from the phase I group, two had a partial response [10.5 %; 95 % CI (1, 33 %)] and PFS6 was 15.8 % [95 % CI (3.9, 34.9 %)]. Vandetanib and sirolimus can be safely co-administered on a continuous, daily dosing schedule.

Amyloid and APOE ε4 interact to influence short-term decline in preclinical Alzheimer disease

Mormino, E. C., Betensky, R. A., Hedden, T., Schultz, A. P., Ward, A., Huijbers, W., Rentz, D. M., Johnson, K. A., & Sperling, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Neurology

Volume

82

Issue

20

Page(s)

1760-1767
Abstract
Abstract
Objective: To examine whether b-amyloid (Ab) and APOE ε4 status independently contribute or interact to influence longitudinal cognitive decline in clinically normal older individuals (CN). Methods: Data from 490 CNs were aggregated across 3 observational cohort studies (Harvard Aging Brain Study, Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, and Australian Imaging Biomarkers and Lifestyle Study of Ageing; median age = 75.0 years, 255 female), and the contributions of APOE ε4 and Aβ on longitudinal change over a median of 1.49 years were examined. Cognitive decline was assessed with the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Logical Memory (immediate and delayed recall scores). Results: High Aβ participants were more likely to be APOE ε4+ than low Aβ participants. CNs who were both high Aβ and APOE ε4+ showed greater decline in Logical Memory immediate recall (p < 0.087), Logical Memory delayed recall (p < 0.024), and MMSE (p < 0.034) compared to all other groups (low Aβ/APOE ε4-, low Aβ/APOE ε4+, and high Aβ/APOE ε4-). No other pairwise contrast was significant for any cognitive measure. Conclusions: Clinically normal individuals who are APOE ε4+ and have high Aβ showed the highest cognitive decline. These results suggest that Aβ and APOE ε4 are not redundant contributors of decline in aging but rather interact to promote decline during the short follow-up period examined in this study. Longer follow-up periods will be essential to fully elucidate the influence of Alzheimer disease risk factors on cognitive decline in aging.

Anatomic pattern of intracerebral hemorrhage expansion: Relation to CT angiography spot sign and hematoma center

Boulouis, G., Dumas, A., Betensky, R. A., Brouwers, H. B., Fotiadis, P., Vashkevich, A., Ayres, A., Schwab, K., Romero, J. M., Smith, E. E., Viswanathan, A., Goldstein, J. N., Rosand, J., Gurol, M. E., & Greenberg, S. M. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Stroke

Volume

45

Issue

4

Page(s)

1154-1156
Abstract
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE - : We sought to identify baseline determinants of the anatomic pattern of hematoma expansion in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage and spot sign. METHODS - : We coregistered baseline and follow-up CT scans from 15 intracerebral hemorrhage patients and measured growth at each surface node from baseline to follow-up hematoma. We analyzed the effects of proximity to the spot sign or hematoma center on distance of expansion, controlling for covariates. RESULTS - : There was substantial node-to-node variation in the extent of expansion around each hematoma surface (mean coefficient of variation for expansion distance, 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.39-0.48), indicating nonuniform expansion. Closer proximity to the hematoma center was independently associated with increased expansion (0.185 mm greater expansion for each 1 mm closer to the center; P<0.0001). Closer proximity to the spot sign was not independently associated with increased expansion in models including both terms. CONCLUSIONS - : Hemorrhages expand nonuniformly around their surface with a tendency for greater expansion closer to their center. These findings provide a novel framework for analyzing mechanisms underlying hemorrhage growth and response to treatment.

Anti-ApoE antibody given after plaque onset decreases Aβ accumulation and improves brain function in a mouse model of Aβ amyloidosis

Liao, F., Hori, Y., Hudry, E., Bauer, A. Q., Jiang, H., Mahan, T. E., Lefton, K. B., Zhang, T. J., Dearborn, J. T., Kim, J., Culver, J. P., Betensky, R., Wozniak, D. F., Hyman, B. T., & Holtzman, D. M. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Journal of Neuroscience

Volume

34

Issue

21

Page(s)

7281-7292
Abstract
Abstract
Apolipoprotein E (apoE) is the strongest known genetic risk factor for late onset Alzheimer's disease (AD). It influences amyloid-β (Aβ) clearance and aggregation, which likely contributes in large part to its role in AD pathogenesis. We recently found that HJ6.3, a monoclonal antibody against apoE, significantly reduced Aβ plaque load when given to APPswe/PS1 ΔE9 (APP/PS1) mice starting before the onset of plaque deposition. To determine whether the anti-apoE antibody HJ6.3 affects Aβ plaques, neuronal network function, and behavior in APP/PS1 mice after plaque onset, we administered HJ6.3 (10 mg/kg/week) or PBS intraperitoneally to 7-month-old APP/PS1 mice for 21 weeks. HJ6.3 mildly improved spatial learning performance in the water maze, restored resting-state functional connectivity, and modestly reduced brain Aβ plaque load. There was no effect of HJ6.3 on total plasma cholesterol or cerebral amyloid angiopathy. To investigate the underlying mechanisms of anti-apoE immunotherapy, HJ6.3 was applied to the brain cortical surface and amyloid deposition was followed over 2 weeks using in vivo imaging. Acute exposure to HJ6.3 affected the course of amyloid deposition in that it prevented the formation of new amyloid deposits, limited their growth, and was associated with occasional clearance of plaques, a process likely associated with direct binding to amyloid aggregates. Topical application of HJ6.3 for only 14 d also decreased the density of amyloid plaques assessed postmortem. Collectively, these studies suggest that anti-apoE antibodies have therapeutic potential when given before or after the onset of Aβ pathology.

Assumptions regarding right censoring in the presence of left truncation

Qian, J., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Statistics and Probability Letters

Volume

87

Issue

1

Page(s)

12-17
Abstract
Abstract
Clinical studies using complex sampling often involve both truncation and censoring, where there are options for the assumptions of independence of censoring and event and for the relationship between censoring and truncation. In this paper, we clarify these choices, show certain equivalences, and provide examples.

Behavioral deficits, early gliosis, dysmyelination and synaptic dysfunction in a mouse model of mucolipidosis IV

Grishchuk, Y., Sri, S., Rudinskiy, N., Ma, W., Stember, K. G., Cottle, M. W., Sapp, E., Difiglia, M., Muzikansky, A., Betensky, R. A., Wong, A. M., Bacskai, B. J., Hyman, B. T., Kelleher, R. J., Cooper, J. D., & Slaugenhaupt, S. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Acta Neuropathologica Communications

Volume

2

Issue

1
Abstract
Abstract
Mucolipidosis IV (MLIV) is caused by mutations in the gene MCOLN1. Patients with MLIV have severe neurologic deficits and very little is known about the brain pathology in this lysosomal disease. Using an accurate mouse model of mucolipidosis IV, we observed early behavioral deficits which were accompanied by activation of microglia and astrocytes. The glial activation that persisted during the course of disease was not accompanied by neuronal loss even at the late stage. In vivo [Ca2+]-imaging revealed no changes in resting [Ca2+] levels in Mcoln1 -/- cortical neurons, implying their physiological health. Despite the absence of neuron loss, we observed alterations in synaptic plasticity, as indicated by elevated paired-pulse facilitation and enhanced long-term potentiation. Myelination deficits and severely dysmorphic corpus callosum were present early and resembled white matter pathology in mucolipidosis IV patients. These results indicate the early involvement of glia, and challenge the traditional view of mucolipidosis IV as an overtly neurodegenerative condition.

Blood kidney injury molecule-1 is a biomarker of acute and chronic kidney injury and predicts progression to ESRD in type I diabetes

Sabbisetti, V. S., Waikar, S. S., Antoine, D. J., Smiles, A., Wang, C., Ravisankar, A., Ito, K., Sharma, S., Ramadesikan, S., Lee, M., Briskin, ., De Jager, P. L., Ngo, T. T., Radlinski, M., Dear, J. W., Park, K. B., Betensky, R., Krolewski, A. S., & Bonventre, J. V. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Journal of the American Society of Nephrology

Volume

25

Issue

10

Page(s)

2177-2186
Abstract
Abstract
Currently, no blood biomarker that specifically indicates injury to the proximal tubule of the kidney has been identified. Kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) is highly upregulated in proximal tubular cells following kidney injury. The ectodomain of KIM-1 is shed into the lumen, and serves as a urinary biomarker of kidney injury. We report that shed KIM-1 also serves as a blood biomarker of kidney injury. Sensitive assays to measure plasma and serum KIM-1 in mice, rats, and humans were developed and validated in the current study. Plasma KIM-1 levels increased with increasing periods of ischemia (10, 20, or 30 minutes) in mice, as early as 3 hours after reperfusion; after unilateral ureteral obstruction (day 7) in mice; and after gentamicin treatment (50 or 200 mg/kg for 10 days) in rats. In humans, plasma KIM-1 levels were higher in patients with AKI than in healthy controls or post-cardiac surgery patients without AKI (area under the curve, 0.96). In patients undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass, plasma KIM-1 levels increased within 2 days after surgery only in patients who developed AKI (P<0.01). Blood KIM-1 levels were also elevated in patients with CKD of varous etiologies. In a cohort of patients with type 1 diabetes and proteinuria, serum KIM-1 level at baseline strongly predicted rate of eGFR loss and risk of ESRD during 5-15 years of follow-up, after adjustment for baseline urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio, eGFR, and Hb1Ac. These results identify KIM-1 as a blood biomarker that specifically reflects acute and chronic kidney injury.

Computationally simple estimation and improved efficiency for special cases of double truncation

Austin, M. D., Simon, D. K., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Lifetime Data Analysis

Volume

20

Issue

3

Page(s)

335-354
Abstract
Abstract
Doubly truncated survival data arise when event times are observed only if they occur within subject specific intervals of times. Existing iterative estimation procedures for doubly truncated data are computationally intensive (Turnbull 38:290-295, 1976; Efron and Petrosian 94:824-825, 1999; Shen 62:835-853, 2010a). These procedures assume that the event time is independent of the truncation times, in the sample space that conforms to their requisite ordering. This type of independence is referred to as quasi-independence. In this paper we identify and consider two special cases of quasi-independence: complete quasi-independence and complete truncation dependence. For the case of complete quasi-independence, we derive the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator in closed-form. For the case of complete truncation dependence, we derive a closed-form nonparametric estimator that requires some external information, and a semi-parametric maximum likelihood estimator that achieves improved efficiency relative to the standard nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator, in the absence of external information. We demonstrate the consistency and potentially improved efficiency of the estimators in simulation studies, and illustrate their use in application to studies of AIDS incubation and Parkinson's disease age of onset.

Eliminating bias due to censoring in Kendall's tau estimators for quasi-independence of truncation and failure

Austin, M. D., & Betensky, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Computational Statistics and Data Analysis

Volume

73

Page(s)

16-26
Abstract
Abstract
While the currently available estimators for the conditional Kendall's tau measure of association between truncation and failure are valid for testing the null hypothesis of quasi-independence, they are biased when the null does not hold. This is because they converge to quantities that depend on the censoring distribution. The magnitude of the bias relative to the theoretical Kendall's tau measure of association between truncation and failure due to censoring has not been studied, and so its importance in real problems is not known. We quantify this bias in order to assess the practical usefulness of the estimators. Furthermore, we propose inverse probability weighted versions of the conditional Kendall's tau estimators to remove the effects of censoring and provide asymptotic results for the estimators. In simulations, we demonstrate the decrease in bias achieved by these inverse probability weighted estimators. We apply the estimators to the Channing House data set and an AIDS incubation data set.

Evidence-based decision support for neurological diagnosis reduces errors and unnecessary workup

Segal, M. M., Williams, M. S., Gropman, A. L., Torres, A. R., Forsyth, R., Connolly, A. M., El-Hattab, A. W., Perlman, S. J., Samanta, D., Parikh, S., Pavlakis, S. G., Feldman, L. K., Betensky, R. A., & Gospe, S. M. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Journal of Child Neurology

Volume

29

Issue

4

Page(s)

487-492
Abstract
Abstract
Using vignettes of real cases and the SimulConsult diagnostic decision support software, neurologists listed a differential diagnosis and workup before and after using the decision support. Using the software, there was a significant reduction in error, up to 75% for diagnosis and 56% for workup. This error reduction occurred despite the baseline being one in which testers were allowed to use narrative resources and Web searching. A key factor that improved performance was taking enough time (>2 minutes) to enter clinical findings into the software accurately. Under these conditions and for instances in which the diagnoses changed based on using the software, diagnostic accuracy improved in 96% of instances. There was a 6% decrease in the number of workup items accompanied by a 34% increase in relevance. The authors conclude that decision support for a neurological diagnosis can reduce errors and save on unnecessary testing.

Mild to moderate Alzheimer dementia with insufficient neuropathological changes

Serrano-Pozo, A., Qian, J., Monsell, S. E., Blacker, D., Gómez-Isla, T., Betensky, R. A., Growdon, J. H., Johnson, K. A., Frosch, M. P., Sperling, R. A., & Hyman, B. T. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

Annals of Neurology

Volume

75

Issue

4

Page(s)

597-601
Abstract
Abstract
Recently, ∼16% of participants in an anti-Aβ passive immunotherapy trial for mild-to-moderate Alzheimer disease (AD) had a negative baseline amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) scan. Whether they have AD or are AD clinical phenocopies remains unknown. We examined the 2005-2013 National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center autopsy database and found that ∼14% of autopsied subjects clinically diagnosed with mild-to-moderate probable AD have no or sparse neuritic plaques, which would expectedly yield a negative amyloid PET scan. More than half of these "Aβ-negative" subjects have low neurofibrillary tangle Braak stages. These findings support the implementation of a positive amyloid biomarker as an inclusion criterion in future anti-Aβ drug trials. Ann Neurol 2014;75:597-601

Synergistic effect of β-amyloid and neurodegeneration on cognitive decline in clinically normal individuals

Mormino, E. C., Betensky, R. A., Hedden, T., Schultz, A. P., Amariglio, R. E., Rentz, D. M., Johnson, K. A., & Sperling, R. A. (n.d.).

Publication year

2014

Journal title

JAMA Neurology

Volume

71

Issue

11

Page(s)

1379-1385
Abstract
Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Assessing the ability of Alzheimer disease neuroimaging markers to predict short-term cognitive decline among clinically normal (CN) individuals is critical for upcoming secondary prevention trials using cognitive outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether neuroimaging markers of β-amyloid (Aβ) and neurodegeneration (ND) are independently or synergistically associated with longitudinal cognitive decline in CN individuals. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Academic medical center longitudinal natural history study among 166 CN individuals (median age, 74 years; 92 women). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The Aβ status was determined with Pittsburgh Compound B-positron emission tomography, while ND was assessed using 2 a priori measures, hippocampus volume (magnetic resonance imaging) and glucose metabolism (positron emission tomography with fludeoxyglucose F 18), extracted from Alzheimer disease-vulnerable regions. Based on imaging markers, CN individuals were categorized into the following preclinical Alzheimer disease stages: stage 0 (Aβ-/ND-), stage 1 (Aβ+/ND-), stage 2 (Aβ+/ND+), and suspected non-Alzheimer disease pathology (Aβ-/ND+). Cognition was assessed with a composite of neuropsychological tests administered annually. RESULTS: The Aβ+ CN individuals were more likely to be classified as ND+: 59.6%of Aβ+ CN individuals were ND+, whereas 31.9%of Aβ- CN individuals were ND+ (odds ratio, 3.14; 95% CI, 1.44-7.02; P = .004). In assessing longitudinal cognitive performance, practice effects were evident in CN individuals negative for both Aβ and ND, whereas diminished practice effects were observed in CN individuals positive for either Aβ or ND. Decline over time was observed only in CN individuals positive for both Aβ and ND, and decline in this group was significantly greater than that in all other groups (P < .001 for all). A significant interaction term between Aβ and ND confirmed that this decline was greater than the additive contributions of Aβ and ND (P = .04). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The co-occurrence of Aβ and ND accelerates cognitive decline in CN individuals. Therefore, both factors are important to consider in upcoming secondary prevention trials targeting CN individuals at high risk for progression to the symptomatic stages of Alzheimer disease.

Contact

rebecca.betensky@nyu.edu 708 Broadway New York, NY, 10003